相关论文: Nonparametric estimation in a nonlinear cointegrat…
This paper outlines a new nonparametric estimation procedure for unobserved phi-mixing processes. It is assumed that the only information on the stationary hidden states (Xk) is given by the process (Yk), where Yk is a noisy observation of…
We investigate a semiparametric regression model where one gets noisy non linear non invertible functions of the observations. We focus on the application to bearings-only tracking. We first investigate the least squares estimator and prove…
Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…
We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility…
We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…
We propose a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional quantile function that admits a generalized additive specification with an unknown link function. This model nests single-index, additive, and multiplicative quantile…
The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…
Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…
In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in…
We present a nonparametric family of estimators for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution when covariate information is available. Our estimators are based on a weighted sum of the log-spacings between some selected observations.…
We consider a nonparametric regression model with continuous endogenous independent variables when only discrete instruments are available that are independent of the error term. Although this framework is very relevant for applied…
We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…
Trawl processes belong to the class of continuous-time, strictly stationary, infinitely divisible processes; they are defined as Levy bases evaluated over deterministic trawl sets. This article presents the first nonparametric estimator of…
This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…
We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the linear multiplier function $\theta(t)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $$dX_t=\theta(t)X_tdt+\epsilon dW_t^{H,K}, X_0=x_0,0\leq t \leq T$$ where…
Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…
We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…
This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…
The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…
Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…