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Change of measure inequalities translate divergences between probability measures into explicit bounds on event probabilities, and play an important role in deriving probabilistic guarantees in learning theory, information theory, and…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Yanxiao Liu , Yijun Fan , Deniz Gündüz

After surveying classical results, we introduce a generalized notion of inference system to support structural recursion on non-well-founded data types. Besides axioms and inference rules with the usual meaning, a generalized inference…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-04-23 Francesco Dagnino

In information theory, one major goal is to find useful functions that summarize the amount of information contained in the interaction of several random variables. Specifically, one can ask how the classical Shannon entropy, mutual…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Leon Lang , Pierre Baudot , Rick Quax , Patrick Forré

For propensity score analysis and sparse estimation, we develop an information criterion for determining the regularization parameters needed in variable selection. First, for Gaussian distribution-based causal inference models, we extend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-22 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Bounding the generalization error of learning algorithms has a long history, which yet falls short in explaining various generalization successes including those of deep learning. Two important difficulties are (i) exploiting the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Amir R. Asadi , Emmanuel Abbe , Sergio Verdú

We introduce a general IFS Bayesian method for getting posterior probabilities from prior probabilities, and also a generalized Bayes' rule, which will contemplate a dynamical, as well as a non-dynamical setting. Given a loss function…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-09-08 Artur O. Lopes , Jairo. K. Mengue

The concept of Shannon entropy of random variables was generalized to measurable functions in general, and to simple functions with finite values in particular. It is shown that the information measure of a function is related to the time…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-25 Guo Zhao

In classic papers, Zellner demonstrated that Bayesian inference could be derived as the solution to an information theoretic functional. Below we derive a generalized form of this functional as a variational lower bound of a predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-25 Alexander A. Alemi

Information and uncertainty are closely related and extensively studied concepts in a number of scientific disciplines such as communication theory, probability theory, and statistics. Increasing the information arguably reduces the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-09 Jiahua Chen

We introduce a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets for reasoning with fuzzy or crisp evidence. This framework generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and possibility theory. Independent epistemic random…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-08 Thierry Denoeux

In an earlier paper [Rational choice and AGM belief revision, Artificial Intelligence, 2009] a correspondence was established between the choice structures of revealed-preference theory (developed in economics) and the syntactic belief…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Giacomo Bonanno

Measuring the relationship between any pair of variables is a rich and active area of research that is central to scientific practice. In contrast, characterizing the common information among any group of variables is typically a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Greg Ver Steeg , Shuyang Gao , Kyle Reing , Aram Galstyan

This paper proposes a theoretical framework which models the information provided by retrieval systems in terms of Information Theory. The proposed framework allows to formalize: (i) system effectiveness as an information theoretic…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-09-17 Enrique Amigó , Fernando Giner , Stefano Mizzaro , Damiano Spina

In this work, we present a variety of novel information-theoretic generalization bounds for learning algorithms, from the supersample setting of Steinke & Zakynthinou (2020)-the setting of the "conditional mutual information" framework. Our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Ziqiao Wang , Yongyi Mao

This paper fills a gap in our understanding of the interaction between information and computation. It unifies other approaches to measuring information like Kolmogorov complexity and Shannon information. We define a theory about…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-24 P. W. Adriaans

Dempster-Shafer theory of imprecise probabilities has proved useful to incorporate both nonspecificity and conflict uncertainties in an inference mechanism. The traditional Bayesian approach cannot differentiate between the two, and is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Sari Haj Hussein

Information flow (or information transfer as may be called) the widely applicable general physics notion can be rigorously derived from first principles, rather than axiomatically proposed as an ansatz. Its logical association with…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-03-31 X. San Liang

Vindicating a sophisticated but non-rigorous physics approach called the cavity method, we establish a formula for the mutual information in statistical inference problems induced by random graphs and we show that the mutual information…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-06-28 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Florent Krzakala , Will Perkins , Lenka Zdeborova

Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

The safe integration of machine learning modules in decision-making processes hinges on their ability to quantify uncertainty. A popular technique to achieve this goal is conformal prediction (CP), which transforms an arbitrary base…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Fredrik Hellström