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We consider the problem of deriving uniform confidence bands for the mean of a monotonic stochastic process, such as the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable, based on a sequence of i.i.d.~observations. Our approach…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Eugenio Clerico , Hamish E Flynn , Patrick Rebeschini

We derive convenient uniform concentration bounds and finite sample multivariate normal approximation results for quadratic forms, then describe some applications involving variance components estimation in linear random-effects models.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-16 Lee H. Dicker , Murat A. Erdogdu

We study identification and estimation of endogenous linear and nonlinear regression models without excluded instrumental variables, based on the standard mean independence condition and a nonlinear relevance condition. Based on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-01 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang

We derive upper bounds for random design linear regression with dependent ($\beta$-mixing) data absent any realizability assumptions. In contrast to the strictly realizable martingale noise regime, no sharp instance-optimal non-asymptotics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-30 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

We consider an experimental design setting in which units are assigned to treatment after being sampled sequentially from an infinite population. We derive asymptotic efficiency bounds that apply to data from any experiment that assigns…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Timothy B. Armstrong

In bandit algorithms, the randomly time-varying adaptive experimental design makes it difficult to apply traditional limit theorems to off-policy evaluation of the treatment effect. Moreover, the normal approximation by the central limit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Yechan Park , Nakahiro Yoshida

Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-04 Licong Lin , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright

In the conventional regression-discontinuity (RD) design, the probability that units receive a treatment changes discontinuously as a function of one covariate exceeding a threshold or cutoff point. This paper studies an extended RD design…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-13 Eugenio Felipe Merlano

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

Regression models for continuous outcomes often require a transformation of the outcome, which the user either specify {\it a priori} or estimate from a parametric family. Cumulative probability models (CPMs) nonparametrically estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Chun Li , Yuqi Tian , Donglin Zeng , Bryan E. Shepherd

This paper presents a method for constructing uniform confidence bands for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) function. The shape of the MTE function offers insight into how the unobserved propensity to receive treatment is related to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 Toshiki Tsuda , Yanchun Jin , Ryo Okui

In this paper, we derive minimax rates for estimating both parametric and nonparametric components in partially linear additive models with high dimensional sparse vectors and smooth functional components. The minimax lower bound for…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-16 Zhuqing Yu , Michael Levine , Guang Cheng

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

Adaptively collected data has become ubiquitous within modern practice. However, even seemingly benign adaptive sampling schemes can introduce severe biases, rendering traditional statistical inference tools inapplicable. This can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-02 Wei Fan , Kevin Tan , Yuting Wei

This paper introduces unit-specific heterogeneity in panel data threshold regression. We develop the asymptotic theory for models with heterogeneous thresholds, heterogeneous slope coefficients, and interactive fixed effects. The estimation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-27 Marco Barassi , Yiannis Karavias , Chongxian Zhu

The MDL two-part coding $ \textit{index of resolvability} $ provides a finite-sample upper bound on the statistical risk of penalized likelihood estimators over countable models. However, the bound does not apply to unpenalized maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-01 W. D. Brinda , Jason M. Klusowski

Finite mixture distributions arise in sampling a heterogeneous population. Data drawn from such a population will exhibit extra variability relative to any single subpopulation. Statistical models based on finite mixtures can assist in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim , Nagaraj K. Neerchal , Jorge G. Morel

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri