摩洛哥 COVID-19 大流行的传播建模
种群与进化
2021-07-19 v1
摘要
如今，2019 冠状病毒病（COVID-19）对全球公共卫生和经济构成重大威胁。遗憾的是，目前尚无针对该疾病的有效药物。为此，多国已采取多种预防性干预措施以避免 COVID-19 的传播。在此，我们提出一个带时滞的数学模型，用于预测摩洛哥 COVID-19 的流行病学趋势。对所提模型的参数估计与敏感性分析进行了严格研究。此外，给出了数值模拟，以检验摩洛哥当局所实施的预防措施与策略的有效性，并协助政策制定者与公共卫生管理部门制定此类策略。
引用
@article{arxiv.2010.04115,
title = {Modeling the spread of COVID-19 pandemic in Morocco},
author = {Houssine Zine and El Mehdi Lotfi and Marouane Mahrouf and Adnane Boukhouima and Yassine Aqachmar and Khalid Hattaf and Delfim F. M. Torres and Noura Yousfi},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2010.04115},
year = {2021}
}
备注
This is a preprint of a paper whose final and definite form is published in 'Analysis of Infectious Disease Problems (Covid-19) and Their Global Impact', Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. First submitted 18/April/2020; revised 22/Sept/2020; accepted 08/Oct/2020