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The goal of cancer genome sequencing projects is to determine the genetic alterations that cause common cancers. Many malignancies arise during the clonal expansion of a benign tumor which motivates the study of recurrent selective sweeps…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Rick Durrett , John Mayberry

The asymptotic behavior of estimates and information criteria in linear models are studied in the context of hierarchically correlated sampling units. The work is motivated by biological data collected on species where autocorrelation is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Cécile Ané

In statistics and machine learning, logistic regression is a widely-used supervised learning technique primarily employed for binary classification tasks. When the number of observations greatly exceeds the number of predictor variables, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Agniva Chowdhury , Pradeep Ramuhalli

The shape of allele-frequency clines maintained by migration-selection balance depends not only on the properties of migration and selection, but also on the dominance relations among alleles and on linkage to other loci under selection. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-18 Reinhard Bürger

Widely used models in genetics include the Wright-Fisher diffusion and its moment dual, Kingman's coalescent. Each has a multilocus extension but under neither extension is the sampling distribution available in closed-form, and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Paul Fearnhead , Yun S. Song

Consider a population of $N$ individuals, each of them carrying a type in $\mathbb N_0$. The population evolves according to a Moran dynamics with selection and mutation, where an individual of type $k$ has the same selective advantage over…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Adrian Gonzalez Casanova , Charline Smadi , Anton Wakolbinger

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

In this paper we consider the two-type Moran model with $N$ individuals. Each individual is assigned a resampling rate, drawn independently from a probability distribution ${\mathbb P}$ on ${\mathbb R}_+$, and a type, either $1$ or $0$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-06 Siva Athreya , Frank den Hollander , Adrian Röllin

Our goal is to study the genetic composition of a population in which each individual has 2 parents, who contribute equally to the genome of their ospring. We use a biparental Moran model, which is characterized by its xed number N of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

Motivated by the question of the impact of selective advantage in populations with skewed reproduction mechanims, we study a Moran model with selection. We assume that there are two types of individuals, where the reproductive success of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , José Luis Pérez

One of the classical results of mathematical population genetics states that the frequency of a beneficial mutant's offspring, on its way to fixation in a large population, looks like a logistic curve. A logarithmic scaling (both in height…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Florin Boenkost , Felix Hermann , András Tóbiás , Anton Wakolbinger

We analyse sequential Markov coalescent algorithms for populations with demographic structure: for a bottleneck model, a population-divergence model, and for a two-island model with migration. The sequential Markov coalescent method is an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 A. Eriksson , B. Mahjani , B. Mehlig

Ewens sampling formula (ESF) is a one-parameter family of probability distributions with a number of intriguing combinatorial connections. This elegant closed-form formula first arose in biology as the stationary probability distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Paul A. Jenkins , Yun S. Song

Inference of the marginal likelihood of sample allele configurations using backward algorithms yields identical results with the Kingman coalescent, the Moran model, and the diffusion model (up to a scaling of time). For inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-20 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

Recently, the selection-recombination equation with a single selected site and an arbitrary number of neutral sites was solved by means of the ancestral selection-recombination graph. Here, we introduce a more accessible approach, namely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-18 Frederic Alberti , Carolin Herrmann , Ellen Baake

We consider an extension of the noisy $N$-Branching Random Walk that models the evolution of a population subject to natural selection. We show the existence of a critical value for the noise which separates the limiting genealogical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-17 Emmanuel Schertzer , Alejandro H. Wences

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

We study the following model for a diploid population of constant size $N$: Every individual carries a random number of (genetic) elements. Upon a reproduction event each of the two parents passes each element independently with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger