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We analyse a family of two-types Wright-Fisher models with selection in a random environment and skewed offspring distribution. We provide a calculable criterion to quantify the impact of different shapes of selection on the fate of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Adrián González Casanova , Dario Spanò , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We introduce a simple algorithm for reconstructing phylogenies from multiple gene trees in the presence of incomplete lineage sorting, that is, when the topology of the gene trees may differ from that of the species tree. We show that our…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

Human populations have experienced dramatic growth since the Neolithic revolution. Recent studies that sequenced a very large number of individuals observed an extreme excess of rare variants, and provided clear evidence of recent rapid…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-17 Elodie Gazave , Li Ma , Diana Chang , Alex Coventry , Feng Gao , Donna Muzny , Eric Boerwinkle , Richard Gibbs , Charles F. Sing , Andrew G. Clark , Alon Keinan

We consider a population of haploid individuals reproducing sexually, i.e. for which the genome of each individual is a random mixture of the genome of its two parents. We assume that initially one individual carries a mutation at one…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

We propose a resampling-based fast variable selection technique for detecting relevant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) in a multi-marker mixed effect model. Due to computational complexity, current practice primarily involves testing…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-30 Subhabrata Majumdar , Saonli Basu , Matt McGue , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

The goal of this paper is to prove rigorous results for the behavior of genealogies in a one-dimensional long range biased voter model introduced by Hallatschek and Nelson [25]. The first step, which is easily accomplished using results of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Rick Durrett , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

When long-lived, balancing selection can lead to trans-species polymorphisms that are shared by two or more species identical by descent. In this case, the gene genealogies at the selected sites cluster by allele instead of by species and,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-30 Ziyue Gao , Molly Przeworski , Guy Sella

Gene duplications are one of major primary driving forces for evolutionary novelty. We took population genetics models of genes duplicate to study how evolutionary forces acting during the fixation of mutant allele at duplicate loci. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-19 Yupeng Cun

Demographic models built from genetic data play important roles in illuminating prehistorical events and serving as null models in genome scans for selection. We introduce an inference method based on the joint frequency spectrum of genetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-10 Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Ryan D. Hernandez , Scott H. Williamson , Carlos D. Bustamante

The growing probabilities of additional offspring with the beneficial reversal allele for various population sizes, $N$, sequence lengths, $L$, selective advantages, $s$, fitness parameters, $k$, and measuring parameters, $C$, were…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-25 Wonpyong Gill

The coalescent is a foundational model of latent genealogical trees under neutral evolution, but suffers from intractable sampling probabilities. Methods for approximating these sampling probabilities either introduce bias or fail to scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Martina Favero , Jere Koskela

We introduce a Cannings model with directional selection via a paintbox construction and establish a strong duality with the line counting process of a new \emph{Cannings ancestral selection graph} in discrete time. This duality also yields…

Fixation probabilities are essential for characterizing stochastic evolutionary dynamics, but analytical results remain limited mainly to systems with two competing types. We develop a perturbative framework to compute fixation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-15 Ian Braga , Lucas Wardil , Ricardo Martinez-Garcia

Genetic diversity is central to the process of evolution. Both natural selection and random genetic drift are influenced by the level of genetic diversity of a population; selection acts on diversity while drift samples from it. At a given…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-12 Nikolas Vellnow , Toni I. Gossmann , David Waxman

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

Mounting evidence suggests that natural populations can harbor extensive fitness diversity with numerous genomic loci under selection. It is also known that genealogical trees for populations under selection are quantifiably different from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-04 Adel Dayarian , Boris I Shraiman

We study the evolution of the population genealogy in the classic neutral Moran Model of finite size and in discrete time. The stochastic transformations that shape a Moran population can be realized directly on its genealogy and give rise…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Johannes Wirtz , Thomas Wiehe

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

We consider a neutral dynamical model of biological diversity, where individuals live and reproduce independently. They have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-06 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

In the Admixture Model, the probability of an individual having a certain number of alleles at a specific marker depends on the allele frequencies in $K$ ancestral populations and the fraction of the individual's genome originating from…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-29 Carola Sophia Heinzel
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