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We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

The literature on optimal reinsurance does not deal with how much the effectiveness of such solutions is degraded by errors in parameters and models. The issue is investigated through both asymptotics and numerical studies. It is shown that…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-10 Yinzhi Wang , Erik Bølviken

Let $\rho$ be a general law--invariant convex risk measure, for instance the average value at risk, and let $X$ be a financial loss, that is, a real random variable. In practice, either the true distribution $\mu$ of $X$ is unknown, or the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Daniel Bartl , Ludovic Tangpi

We consider a supercritical branching random walk in time-inhomogeneous random environment with a random absorption barrier, i.e.,in each generation, only the individuals born below the barrier can survive and reproduce. Assume that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 You Lv , Wenming Hong

We are interested in the survival probability of a population modeled by a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment. We assume that the random walk associated with the branching process is oscillating and satisfies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Congzao Dong , Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

We consider a random walk on top of the contact process on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with $d\geq 1$. In particular, we focus on the "contact process as seen from the random walk". Under the assumption that the infection rate of the contact process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-13 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen

We study the empirical measure associated to a sample of size $n$ and modified by $N$ iterations of the raking-ratio method. This empirical measure is adjusted to match the true probability of sets in a finite partition which changes each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mickael Albertus , Philippe Berthet

In survival or reliability studies, the mean residual life or life expectancy is an important characteristic of the model. Here, we study the limiting behaviour of the mean residual life, and derive an asymptotic expansion which can be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David M. Bradley , Ramesh C. Gupta

Nonparametric estimation of the gap time distribution in a simple renewal process may be considered a problem in survival analysis under particular sampling frames corresponding to how the renewal process is observed. This note describes…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-02 Richard D. Gill , Niels Keiding

This paper studies the asymptotic convergence of computed dynamic models when the shock is unbounded. Most dynamic economic models lack a closed-form solution. As such, approximate solutions by numerical methods are utilized. Since the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-12 Kenichiro McAlinn , Kosaku Takanashi

We consider a competing risks model, in which system failures are due to one out of two mutually exclusive causes, formulated within the framework of shock models driven by bivariate Poisson process. We obtain the failure densities and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-02 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

We consider a random walk with catastrophes which was introduced to model population biology. It is known that this Markov chain gets eventually absorbed at $0$ for all parameter values. Recently, it has been shown that this chain exhibits…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Luiz Renato Fontes , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We give a complete and unified description -- under some stability assumptions -- of the functional scaling limits associated with some persistent random walks for which the recurrent or transient type is studied in [1]. As a result, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Peggy Cénac , Arnaud Le Ny , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

We propose a generalized extreme shock model with a possibly increasing failure threshold. While standard models assume that the crucial threshold for the system may only decrease over time, because of weakening shocks and obsolescence, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler

We are interested in a fragmentation process. We observe fragments frozen when their sizes are less than {\epsilon} ({\epsilon} > 0). It is known ([BM05]) that the empirical measure of these fragments converges in law, under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Camille Noûs , Sylvain Rubenthaler

In this paper is proved the limit theorem for randomly indexed sequence of random processes in the case where sequences of random index and random processes are independent, also the estimation of convergence rate is obtained.

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-22 Elena Permyakova

We study a branching random walk on $\r$ with an absorbing barrier. The position of the barrier depends on the generation. In each generation, only the individuals born below the barrier survive and reproduce. Given a reproduction law,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Bruno Jaffuel