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We review the theory of renewal reward processes, which describes renewal processes that have some cost or reward associated with each cycle. We present a new simplified proof of the renewal reward theorem that mimics the proof of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou

We consider a type of random processes which satisfies the conditional increment condition and obtain an estimate for the tail probability and a Doob-type inequality of the maximum of the process. The main result is that, for processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Xuan Liu

In this paper we study random linear systems with $k$ variables per equation over the finite field GF(2), or equivalently $k$-XOR-CNF formulas. In a previous paper Creignou and Daud\'e proved that the phase transition for the consistency…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nadia Creignou , Herve Daude , Olivier Dubois

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ali Devin Sezer

Optimization of a random processes by restart is a subject of active theoretical research in statistical physics and has long found practical application in computer science. Meanwhile, one of the key issues remains largely unsolved: when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-23 Ilia Nikitin , Sergey Belan

We obtain the analogue of the classical result by Erd\"os and Kac on the limiting distribution of the maximum of partial sums for exchangeable random variables with zero mean and variance one. We show that, if the conditions of the central…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Patricia Alonso Ruiz , Alexander S. Rakitko

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

We establish the central limit theorem for the number of groups at the equilibrium of a coagulation-fragmentation process given by a parameter function with polynomial rate of growth. The result obtained is compared with the one for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Erlihson , Boris Granovsky

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We study branching processes in an i.i.d. random environment, where the associated random walk is of the oscillating type. This class of processes generalizes the classical notion of criticality. The main properties of such branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. I. Afanasyev , J. Geiger , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

We discuss importance sampling of exit problems that involve unbounded stopping times; examples are mean first passage times, transition rates or committor probabilities in molecular dynamics. The naive application of variance minimization…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Carsten Hartmann , Annika Jöster

Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…

We revisit the problem of influencing the sex ratio of a population by subjecting reproduction of each family to some stopping rule. As an easy consequence of the strong law of large numbers, no such modification is possible in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

Random growth models are fundamental objects in modern probability theory, have given rise to new mathematics, and have numerous applications, including tumor growth and fluid flow in porous media. In this article, we introduce some of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Michael Damron

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests in models with several groups, when the number of groups converges with the dimension and sample size to infinity. We derive central limit theorems for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Holger Dette , Nina Dörnemann

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

It is well-known that 0 is the absorbing state for a branching system. Each particle in the system lives a random long time and gives a random number of new particles at its death time. It stops when the system has no particle. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais
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