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The risk ratio is a popular tool for summarizing the relationship between a binary covariate and outcome, even when outcomes may be dependent. Investigations of infectious disease outcomes in cohort studies of individuals embedded within…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-20 Olga Morozova , Ted Cohen , Forrest W. Crawford

Inspired by a recent paper of I. Grama, E. Le Page and M. Peign\'e, we consider a sequence $(g_n)_{n \geq 1}$ of i.i.d. random $d\times d$-matrices with non-negative entries and study the fluctuations of the process $(\log \vert g_n\cdots…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 C. Pham

In this paper, a new reliability model has been developed for a single system degrading stochastically which experiences soft and hard failure. Soft failure occurs when the physical deterioration level of the system is greater than a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Nooshin Yousefi , David W. Coit

We consider a random process as a solution of stochastic differential equations with dependence of the coefficients on small parameter $\varepsilon$ and we suppose that the drift coefficients of these equations are unbounded on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Ivan H. Krykun

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

Let ${Z_{n},n\geq 0} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $T$ be its moment of extinction. Under the annealed approach we prove, as $n\to \infty ,$ a limit theorem for the number of particles in the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-19 C. Boeinghoff , E. E. Dyakonova , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Let $\rho$ be a borelian probability measure on $\mathrm{SL}_d(\mathbb{R})$. Consider the random walk $(X_n)$ on $\mathbb{R}^d\setminus\{0\}$ defined by $\rho$ : for any $x\in \mathbb{R}^d\setminus\{0\}$, we set $X_0 =x$ and $X_{n+1} =…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Jean-Baptiste Boyer

This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a function of its summands as their number tends to infinity. In the large deviation range of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

The paper presents a phenomenon occurring in population processes that start near zero and have large carrying capacity. By the classical result of Kurtz~(1970), such processes, normalized by the carrying capacity, converge on finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-19 A. D. Barbour , P. Chigansky , F. C. Klebaner

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

It has been recently discovered that some random processes may satisfy limit theorems even though they exhibit intermittency, namely an unusual growth of moments. In this paper we provide a deeper understanding of these intricate limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a renewal reward process from one discretely observed sample path over [0,T]. We consider the regime when the sampling rate goes to 0. The main difficulty is that a renewal reward…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Celine Duval

An important question for a probabilistic program is whether the probability mass of all its diverging runs is zero, that is that it terminates "almost surely". Proving that can be hard, and this paper presents a new method for doing so; it…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

Inspired by the double-debt problem in Japan where the mortgagor has to pay the remaining loan even if their house was destroyed by a catastrophic event, we model the lender's cash flow, by an exponential functional of a renewal-reward…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-24 J. Akahori , C. Constantinescu , Y. Imamura , Hh. Pham

We study the asymptotic properties of the solutions of a nonlinear renewal equation. The main contribution of the present article is to provide stability and convergence results around equilibrium solutions, under some local subcritical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon

We derive the unique e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, hereby contributing with the first application beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Sebastian Arnold , Eugenio Clerico

We study a contact process running in a random environment in $\mathbb {Z}^d$ where sites flip, independently of each other, between blocking and nonblocking states, and the contact process is restricted to live in the space given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Daniel Remenik

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff
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