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Mathematical models are increasing adopted for setting targets for disease prevention and control. As model-informed policies are implemented, however, the inaccuracies of some forecasts become apparent, for example overprediction of…

We introduce and analyze a within-host dynamical model of the coevolution between rapidly mutating pathogens and the adaptive immune response. Pathogen mutation and a homeostatic constraint on lymphocytes both play a role in allowing the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-08-06 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Sean P. Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

We consider a simple deterministic model which describes an asymmetric competition between an immune system with a specific and powerful response, and a virus with a broad toxicity and fast mutations. Interest in this model relies on the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-01-17 Thierry Gobron , Mario Santoro , Livio Triolo

We have learned to live with many potentially deadly viruses for which there is no vaccine, no immunity, and no cure. We do not live in constant fear of these viruses, instead, we have learned how to outsmart them and reduce the harm they…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-06 Julie Rowlett

Generalized language-of-thought arguments appropriate to interacting cognitive modules permit exploration of how disease states interact with medical treatment. The interpenetrating feedback between treatment and response to it creates a…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Rodrick Wallace , Deborah Wallace

The vertebrate adaptive immune system provides a flexible and diverse set of molecules to neutralize pathogens. Yet, viruses such as HIV can cause chronic infections by evolving as quickly as the adaptive immune system, forming an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-06-22 Armita Nourmohammad , Jakub Otwinowski , Joshua B. Plotkin

We examine interacting cognitive modules of human biology which, in the asymptotic limit of long sequences of responses, define the output of an appropriate 'dual' information source. Applying a 'necessary condition' communication theory…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Rodrick Wallace

We interpret attitudes towards science and pseudosciences as cultural traits that diffuse in society through communication efforts exerted by agents. We present a tractable model that allows us to study the interaction among the diffusion…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-06-14 Matteo Bizzarri , Fabrizio Panebianco , Paolo Pin

One strategy for winning a coevolutionary struggle is to evolve rapidly. Most of the literature on host-pathogen coevolution focuses on this phenomenon, and looks for consequent evidence of coevolutionary arms races. An alternative…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-11-14 Erick Chastain , Rustom Antia , Carl T. Bergstrom

During chronic infection, HIV-1 engages in a rapid coevolutionary arms race with the host's adaptive immune system. While it is clear that HIV exerts strong selection on the adaptive immune system, the characteristics of the somatic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-28 Armita Nourmohammad , Jakub Otwinowski , Marta Łuksza , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M Walczak

We investigate a cyclic game system where organisms face an epidemic beyond being threatened by natural enemies. As a survival strategy, individuals of one out of the species usually safeguard themselves by approaching the enemies of their…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-09 J. Menezes , B. Ferreira , E. Rangel , B. Moura

Epidemic models study the spread of an undesired agent through a population, be it infectious diseases through a country, misinformation in online social media, or pests infesting a region. In combating these epidemics, we rely neither on…

We use evolutionary game theory to examine how conflict-averse centrism can facilitate authoritarian success in polarized political conflicts. Such conflicts are often asymmetric: authoritarian actors can employ norm-breaking or coercive…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-11 Chad M. Topaz

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

Pathogens drive changes in host immune systems that in turn exert pressure for pathogens to evolve. Quantifying and understanding this constant coevolutionary process has clear practical global health implications. Yet its relatively easier…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-06-09 Thierry Mora , Aleksandra Walczak

We argue that immune system is an adaptive complex system. It is shown that it has emergent properties. Its network structure is of the small world network type. The network is of the threshold type, which helps in avoiding autoimmunity. It…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-01-08 E. Ahmed , A. H. Hashish

For over a century, immunology has masterfully discovered and dissected the components of our immune system, yet its collective behavior remains fundamentally unpredictable. In this perspective, we argue that building on the learnings of…

The dynamics of herd immunity depend crucially on the interaction between collective social behavior and disease transmission, but the role of heterogeneity in this context frequently remains unclear. Here, we dissect this co-evolutionary…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-05 Mehran Noori , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Mohammad Salahshour

Long-term evolutionary processes can strongly influence common-pool resource conservation by generating new traits or behaviours that modify the feedback between population strategies and the resource state. Here we develop an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-27 Prosanta Mandal , Suman Chakraborty , Vaibhav Madhok , Sagar Chakraborty

Disease outbreaks force the governments to rapid decisions to deal with. However, the rapid stream of decision-making could be costly in terms of the democratic representativeness. The aim of the paper is to investigate the trade-off…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-18 A. E. Biondo , G. Brosio , A. Pluchino , R. Zanola
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