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This paper explores the utility of agent-based simulations in realistically modelling market structures and sheds light on the nuances of optimal dealer strategies. It underscores the contrast between conclusions drawn from probabilistic…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-12-12 Wladimir Ostrovsky

There's a long tradition of research using computational intelligence (methods from artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML)), to automatically discover, implement, and fine-tune strategies for autonomous adaptive automated…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Dave Cliff , Michael Rollins

We discuss how minimal financial market models can be constructed by bridging the gap between two existing, but incomplete, market models: a model in which a population of virtual traders make decisions based on common global information…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2008-12-16 Andy Kirou , Blazej Ruszczycki , Markus Walser , Neil F. Johnson

In this study, we developed a computational framework for simulating large-scale agent-based financial markets. Our platform supports trading multiple simultaneous assets and leverages distributed computing to scale the number and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-02-01 Aaron Wheeler , Jeffrey D. Varner

We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-04 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

This paper investigates the optimal hedging strategies of an informed broker interacting with multiple traders in a financial market. We develop a theoretical framework in which the broker, possessing exclusive information about the drift…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-06-11 Philippe Bergault , Pierre Cardaliaguet , Wenbin Yan

A decision maker is choosing between an active action (e.g., purchase a house, invest certain stock) and a passive action. The payoff of the active action depends on the buyer's private type and also an unknown state of nature. An…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Shuze Liu , Weiran Shen , Haifeng Xu

In this paper we examine inefficiencies and information disparity in the Japanese stock market. By carefully analysing information publicly available on the internet, an `outsider' to conventional statistical arbitrage strategies--which are…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-03-09 Dorje C. Brody , Julian Brody , Bernhard K. Meister , Matthew F. Parry

We present the results of detailed numerical study of a model for the sharing and sorting of informations in a community consisting of a large number of agents. The information gathering takes place in a sequence of mutual bipartite…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Biplab Bhattacherjee , S. S. Manna , Animesh Mukherjee

Recent advances in the fields of machine learning and neurofinance have yielded new exciting research perspectives in practical inference of behavioural economy in financial markets and microstructure study. We here present the latest…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-23 J. Lussange , S. Palminteri , S. Bourgeois-Gironde , B. Gutkin

Building on topological data analysis and expert knowledge, this study introduces a Mapper-based approach to cluster agents based on their tendency to be influenced by information spread. The context of our paper is financial markets with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-02 Anubha Goel , Henri Hansen , Juho Kanniainen

In this paper we study the price dynamics in a simple model of financial markets with heterogeneous agents. We concentrate on how increases in the total number of active traders influences fluctuations of asset prices. We find that a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Taisei Kaizoji

We investigate how asymmetric information affects equilibrium price formation in an economy with many interacting agents. Motivated by a finite-player model with two populations of asymmetrically informed agents, we study its mean-field…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Alekos Cecchin , Markus Fischer , Claudio Fontana , Giacomo Lanaro

This paper concerns sequential hypothesis testing in competitive multi-agent systems where agents exchange potentially manipulated information. Specifically, a two-agent scenario is studied where each agent aims to correctly infer the true…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-04 Aneesh Raghavan , M. Umar B. Niazi , Karl H. Johansson

Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

In this article, we established a stock market model based on agents' investing mentality. The agents decide whether to purchase the shares at the probability, according to their anticipation of the market's behaviors. The expectation of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Pei-Ling Zhou , Zi-Nan Tang , Tao Zhou , Jing-Ting Wang , Chun-Xia Yang

Despite the availability of very detailed data on financial market, agent-based modeling is hindered by the lack of information about real trader behavior. This makes it impossible to validate agent-based models, which are thus…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-05-14 David Morton de Lachapelle , Damien Challet

We present a simple dynamical model for describing trading interactions between agents in a social network by considering only two dynamical variables, namely money and goods or services, that are assumed conserved over the whole time span…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-02-01 Rafael A. Barrio , Tzipe Govezensky , Élfego Ruiz-Gutiérrez , Kimmo K. Kaski

A principal who values an object allocates it to one or more agents. Agents learn private information (signals) from an information designer about the allocation payoff to the principal. Monetary transfer is not available but the principal…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-31 Yi-Chun Chen , Gaoji Hu , Xiangqian Yang

Following the idea of Bayesian learning via Gaussian mixture model, we organically combine the backward-looking information contained in the historical data and the forward-looking information implied by the market portfolio, which is…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-05-30 Yi Huang , Wei Zhu , Duan Li , Shushang Zhu , Shikun Wang