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The physics of earthquake triggering together with simple assumptions of self-similarity impose the existence of a minimum magnitude m0 below which earthquakes do not trigger other earthquakes. Noting that the magnitude md of completeness…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 D. Sornette , M. J. Werner

Several recent works point out that the crowd of small unobservable earthquakes (with magnitudes below the detection threshold $m_d$) may play a significant and perhaps dominant role in triggering future seismicity. Using the ETAS branching…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-12-04 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

Using the simple ETAS branching model of seismicity, which assumes that each earthquake can trigger other earthquakes, we quantify the role played by the cascade of triggered seismicity in controlling the rate of aftershock decay as well as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

Fundamentally related to the UV divergence problem in Physics, conventional wisdom in seismology is that the smallest earthquakes, which are numerous and often go undetected, dominate the triggering of major earthquakes, making the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-12 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Using a catalog of seismicity for Southern California, we measure how the number of triggered earthquakes increases with the earthquake magnitude. The trade-off between this relation and the distribution of earthquake magnitudes controls…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Agnes Helmstetter

Numerous systems ranging from deformation of materials to earthquakes exhibit bursty dynamics, which consist of a sequence of events with a broad event size distribution. Very often these events are observed to be temporally correlated or…

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

We estimate the relative importance of small and large earthquakes for static stress changes and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress changes and that earthquakes are located on a fractal…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-09-06 A. Helmstetter , Y. Y. Kagan , D. D. Jackson

We invoke a metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. This provides a simple and straightforward alternative to using space-time windows to detect aftershock sequences and obviates the need to distinguish main shocks…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

Earthquake catalog declustering is the procedure of separating event clusters from background seismicity, which is an important task in statistical seismology, earthquake forecasting, and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Several…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-04-14 Robert Shcherbakov , Sidhanth Kothari

A general dynamical cluster identification framework including both modeling and computation is developed. The earthquake declustering problem is studied to demonstrate how this framework applies. A stochastic model is proposed for…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-12 Zhengxiao Wu

To characterize the dynamical features of seismicity as a complex phenomenon, the seismic data is mapped to a growing random graph, which is a small-world scale-free network. Here, hierarchical and mixing properties of such a network are…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang

Earthquake aftershock identification is closely related to the question "Are aftershocks different from the rest of earthquakes?" We give a positive answer to this question and introduce a general statistical procedure for clustering…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-03-01 Ilya Zaliapin , Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Henry Wong

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The transformation to equivalent dimensions that offers a novel approach for investigating earthquake clustering was engaged to analyze the preparatory phase of the 2020 Samos, Greece, Mw7.0 main shock. The analysis considered earthquakes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Stanislaw Lasocki , Vasileios G. Karakostas , Eleftheria E. Papadimitriou

Discoveries of the scale-free and small-world features are reported on a network constructed from the seismic data. It is shown that the connectivity distribution decays as a power law, and the value of the degrees of separation, i.e., the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other earthquakes have raised the hope that large earthquakes may be…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson
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