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The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

The method of maximum entropy (ME) is extended to address the following problem: Once one accepts that the ME distribution is to be preferred over all others, the question is to what extent are distributions with lower entropy supposed to…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Ariel Caticha

This paper is a review of a particular approach to the method of maximum entropy as a general framework for inference. The discussion emphasizes the pragmatic elements in the derivation. An epistemic notion of information is defined in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-08-04 Ariel Caticha

In this tutorial we review the essential arguments behing entropic inference. We focus on the epistemological notion of information and its relation to the Bayesian beliefs of rational agents. The problem of updating from a prior to a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Ariel Caticha

What is information? Is it physical? We argue that in a Bayesian theory the notion of information must be defined in terms of its effects on the beliefs of rational agents. Information is whatever constrains rational beliefs and therefore…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

Bayes' theorem incorporates distinct types of information through the likelihood and prior. Direct observations of state variables enter the likelihood and modify posterior probabilities through consistent updating. Information in terms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-19 Duncan K. Foley , Ellis Scharfenaker

We develop the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations to probability distributions. The central results consist in (a) justifying the use of relative entropy as the uniquely natural criterion to select a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-07-24 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

We demonstrate that the principle of maximum relative entropy (ME), used judiciously, can ease the specification of priors in model selection problems. The resulting effect is that models that make sharp predictions are disfavoured,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-12-07 Brendon J. Brewer , Matthew J. Francis

Maximum entropy (MAXENT) method has a large number of applications in theoretical and applied machine learning, since it provides a convenient non-parametric tool for estimating unknown probabilities. The method is a major contribution of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-12-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , N. H. Martirosyan

We demonstrate how information in the form of observable data and moment constraints are introduced into the method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME). A general example of updating with data and moments is shown. A specific econometric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-17 Adom Giffin

We show that Skilling's method of induction leads to a unique general theory of inductive inference, the method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME). The main tool for updating probabilities is the logarithmic relative entropy; other entropies…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Ariel Caticha , Adom Giffin

The main object of this paper is to show how we can use classical probabilistic methods such as Maximum Entropy (ME), maximum likelihood (ML) and/or Bayesian (BAYES) approaches to do microscopic and macroscopic data fusion. Actually ME can…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

In this thesis we start by providing some detail regarding how we arrived at our present understanding of probabilities and how we manipulate them - the product and addition rules by Cox. We also discuss the modern view of entropy and how…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-01-21 Adom Giffin

Works, briefly surveyed here, are concerned with two basic methods: Maximum Probability and Bayesian Maximum Probability; as well as with their asymptotic instances: Relative Entropy Maximization and Maximum Non-parametric Likelihood.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-04-25 M. Grendar

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

Maximum entropy method is a constructive criterion for setting up a probability distribution maximally non-committal to missing information on the basis of partial knowledge, usually stated as constrains on expectation values of some…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-07-20 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio , Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio Diaz

The ongoing unprecedented exponential explosion of available computing power, has radically transformed the methods of statistical inference. What used to be a small minority of statisticians advocating for the use of priors and a strict…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Carlos C. Rodriguez

Efficient approximation lies at the heart of large-scale machine learning problems. In this paper, we propose a novel, robust maximum entropy algorithm, which is capable of dealing with hundreds of moments and allows for computationally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Diego Granziol , Binxin Ru , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Doing , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

(Jaynes') Method of (Shannon-Kullback's) Relative Entropy Maximization (REM or MaxEnt) can be - at least in the discrete case - according to the Maximum Probability Theorem (MPT) viewed as an asymptotic instance of the Maximum Probability…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-08-27 M. Grendar, , M. Grendar
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