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We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Biological neural networks are notoriously hard to model due to their stochastic behavior and high dimensionality. We tackle this problem by constructing a dynamical model of both the expectations and covariances of the fractions of active…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-02-25 Vincent Painchaud , Patrick Desrosiers , Nicolas Doyon

We characterize the reachability probabilities in stochastic directed graphs by means of reinforcement learning methods. In particular, we show that the dynamics of the transition probabilities in a stochastic digraph can be modeled via a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Corrado Possieri , Mattia Frasca , Alessandro Rizzo

Rank-deficient stationary stochastic vector processes are present in many problems in network theory and dynamic factor analysis. In this paper we study hidden dynamical relations between the components of a discrete-time stochastic vector…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-14 Wenqi Cao , Anders Lindquist , Giorgio Picci

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

The non-extensive statistical mechanics has been applied to describe a variety of complex systems with inherent correlations and feedback loops. Here we present a dynamical model based on previously proposed static model exhibiting in the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-20 A. Kononovicius , J. Ruseckas

This article aims to investigate sufficient conditions for the stability of stochastic differential equations with a random structure, particularly in contexts involving the presence of concentration points. The proof of asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-22 Taras Lukashiv , Igor V. Malyk , Maryna Chepeleva , Petr V. Nazarov

We study the spreading of damage in the one-dimensional Ising model by means of the stochastic dynamics resulting from coupling the system and its replica by a family of algorithms that interpolate between the heat bath and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 T. Tome , E. Arashiro , J. R. Drugowich de Felicio , M. J. de Oliveira

Aim of this note is to analyse branching Brownian motion within the class of models introduced in the recent paper [4] and called chemical diffusion master equations. These models provide a description for the probabilistic evolution of…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-23 Alberto Lanconelli , Berk Tan Perçin

In this article, the following results are obtained: the process of a randomly wandering particle having a size and a continuous trajectory of motion is considered; (b) based on the study of this probabilistic process, a derivation of the…

综合物理 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Mikhail Batanov-Gaukhman

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We consider long-time behavior of dynamical systems perturbed by a small noise. Under certain conditions, a slow component of such a motion, which is most important for long- time evolution, can be described as a motion on the cone of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-22 Mark Freidlin

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We address this work to investigate some statistical properties of symbolic sequences generated by a numerical procedure in which the symbols are repeated following a power law probability density. In this analysis, we consider that the sum…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-27 H. V. Ribeiro , E. K. Lenzi , R. S. Mendes , P. A. Santoro

The problem of non-iterative one-shot and non-destructive correction of unavoidable mistakes arises in all Artificial Intelligence applications in the real world. Its solution requires robust separation of samples with errors from samples…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-05 A. N. Gorban , I. Y. Tyukin

The occurrence of stochastic resonance in bistable systems undergoing anomalous diffusions, which arise from density-dependent fluctuations, is investigated with emphasis on the analytical formulation of the problem as well as a possible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-03-16 F. Naha Nzoupe , Alain M. Dikande

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

The concept of stochastic Lagrangian and its use in statistical dynamics is illustrated theoretically, and with some examples. Dynamical variables undergoing stochastic differential equations are stochastic processes themselves, and their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-03-18 Massimo Materassi

In this article we propose a novel method to estimate the frequency distribution of linguistic variables while controlling for statistical non-independence due to shared ancestry. Unlike previous approaches, our technique uses all available…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-22 Gerhard Jäger , Johannes Wahle