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This paper is concerned with the numerical solution of model-based, Bayesian inverse problems. We are particularly interested in cases where the cost of each likelihood evaluation (forward-model call) is expensive and the number of un-…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-07-25 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

The rampant adoption of ML methodologies has revealed that models are usually adopted to make decisions without taking into account the uncertainties in their predictions. More critically, they can be vulnerable to adversarial examples.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-29 Víctor Gallego

Variable selection techniques have become increasingly popular amongst statisticians due to an increased number of regression and classification applications involving high-dimensional data where we expect some predictors to be unimportant.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-09-20 Anthony Lee , Francois Caron , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

We consider situations in Bayesian analysis where we have a family of priors $\nu_h$ on the parameter $\theta$, where $h$ varies continuously over a space $\mathcal{H}$, and we deal with two related problems. The first involves sensitivity…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Eugenia Buta , Hani Doss

We propose a novel spike and slab prior specification with scaled beta prime marginals for the importance parameters of regression coefficients to allow for general effect selection within the class of structured additive distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Nadja Klein , Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Helga Wagner

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

Sparse linear (or generalized linear) models combine a standard likelihood function with a sparse prior on the unknown coefficients. These priors can conveniently be expressed as a maximization over zero-mean Gaussians with different…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-07-11 David Wipf , Yi Wu

Bayesian methods have received increasing attention in medical research, where sensitivity analysis of prior distributions is essential. Such analyses typically require the evaluation of the posterior distribution of a parameter under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Spatially inhomogeneous functions, which may be smooth in some regions and rough in other regions, are modelled naturally in a Bayesian manner using so-called Besov priors which are given by random wavelet expansions with…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-27 Sergios Agapiou , Sven Wang

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

In recent years, disease mapping studies have become a routine application within geographical epidemiology and are typically analysed within a Bayesian hierarchical model formulation. A variety of model formulations for the latent level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-07 Andrea Riebler , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

Covariance estimation and selection for multivariate datasets in a high-dimensional regime is a fundamental problem in modern statistics. Gaussian graphical models are a popular class of models used for this purpose. Current Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-06 Xuan Cao , Shaojun Zhang

The solution of parameter-dependent linear systems, by classical methods, leads to an arithmetic effort that grows exponentially in the number of parameters. This renders the multigrid method, which has a well understood convergence theory,…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-04 Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Christian Löbbert , Tim A. Werthmann

Sparse representations have proven their efficiency in solving a wide class of inverse problems encountered in signal and image processing. Conversely, enforcing the information to be spread uniformly over representation coefficients…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-29 Clément Elvira , Pierre Chainais , Nicolas Dobigeon

Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim

Importance sampling (IS) is commonly used for cross validation (CV) in Bayesian models, because it only involves reweighting existing posterior draws without needing to re-estimate the model by re-running Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman

Many inverse problems include nuisance parameters which, while not of direct interest, are required to recover primary parameters. Structure present in these problems allows efficient optimization strategies - a well known example is…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-05 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Tristan van Leeuwen

In this work, we develop a Bayesian framework for solving inverse problems in which the unknown parameter belongs to a space of Radon measures taking values in a separable Hilbert space. The inherent ill-posedness of such problems is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-02 Phuoc-Truong Huynh

The rigorous quantification of uncertainty in geophysical inversions is a challenging problem. Inversions are often ill-posed and the likelihood surface may be multi-modal; properties of any single mode become inadequate uncertainty…