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We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

In this paper, we study probabilistic numerical methods based on optimal quantization algorithms for computing the solution to optimal multiple switching problems with regime-dependent state process. We first consider a discrete-time…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-14 Paul Gassiat , Idris Kharroubi , Huyên Pham

Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty. The method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-09-13 Jonathan Weare

We present a non-iterative algorithm, FloatStepper, for coupling the motion of a rigid body and an incompressible fluid in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The purpose of the algorithm is to remove the so-called added mass…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-04-22 Johan Roenby , Sithik Aliyar , Henrik Bredmose

We propose a multilevel Monte Carlo method for a particle-based asymptotic-preserving scheme for kinetic equations. Kinetic equations model transport and collision of particles in a position-velocity phase-space. With a diffusive scaling,…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-05-21 Emil Løvbak , Giovanni Samaey , Stefan Vandewalle

We propose an efficient method for Monte Carlo simulation of quantum lattice models. Unlike most other quantum Monte Carlo methods, a single run of the proposed method yields the free energy and the entropy with high precision for the whole…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Chiaki Yamaguchi , Naoki Kawashima , Yutaka Okabe

Real-world autonomous systems operate under uncertainty about both their pose and dynamics. Autonomous control systems must simultaneously perform estimation and control tasks to maintain robustness to changing dynamics or modeling errors.…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-03 Patrick Slade , Zachary N. Sunberg , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Nonequilibrium statistical models of point vortex systems are constructed using an optimal closure method, and these models are employed to approximate the relaxation toward equilibrium of systems governed by the two-dimensional Euler…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-12-26 Jonathan Maack , Bruce Turkington

We propose an algorithm for optimizations in which the gradients contain stochastic noise. This arises, for example, in structural optimizations when computations of forces and stresses rely on methods involving Monte Carlo sampling, such…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-11-30 Siyuan Chen , Shiwei Zhang

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a hybrid algorithmic strategy for complex stochastic optimization problems, which combines the use of scenario trees from multistage stochastic programming with machine learning techniques for learning a policy in the form of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-25 Boris Defourny , Damien Ernst , Louis Wehenkel

We consider several multiscale-in-time kinetic Monte Carlo models, in which some variables evolve on a fast time scale, while the others evolve on a slow time scale. In the first two models we consider, a particle evolves in a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-12 Salma Lahbabi , Frederic Legoll

The problem of optimal motion planing and control is fundamental in robotics. However, this problem is intractable for continuous-time stochastic systems in general and the solution is difficult to approximate if non-instantaneous nonlinear…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Mustafa Mukadam , Ching-An Cheng , Xinyan Yan , Byron Boots

A numerical technique is introduced that reduces exponentially the time required for Monte Carlo simulations of non-equilibrium systems. Results for the quasi-stationary probability distribution in two model systems are compared with the…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 A. Bandrivskyy , S. Beri , D. G. Luchinsky , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock

This paper studies an optimal control problem for continuous-time stochastic systems subject to reachability objectives specified in a subclass of metric interval temporal logic specifications, a temporal logic with real-time constraints.…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-04-21 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This paper deals with the question of how to most effectively conduct experiments in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes so as to provide data that is most informative about a parameter of interest. Methods from Markov decision…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2018-01-31 Leifur Thorbergsson , Giles Hooker

I develop a numerical algorithm for stochastic impulse control in the spirit of Regression Monte Carlo for optimal stopping. The approach consists in generating statistical surrogates (aka functional approximators) for the continuation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-03-15 Mike Ludkovski

Multi-stage stochastic optimization is a well-known quantitative tool for decision-making under uncertainty. It is broadly used in financial and investment planning, inventory control, and also natural disaster risk management. Theoretical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-27 Anna Timonina-Farkas

This paper studies a control method for switching stable coexisting attractors of a class of non-autonomous dynamical systems. The central idea is to introduce a continuous path for the system's trajectory to transition from its original…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-08-01 Zhi Zhang , Joseph Páez Chávez , Jan Sieber , Yang Liu

We analyse the convergence and stability of a micro-macro acceleration algorithm for Monte Carlo simulations of stiff stochastic differential equations with a time-scale separation between the fast evolution of the individual stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-12-20 Przemysław Zieliński , Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovanni Samaey