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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a statistical learning technique to calibrate and select models by comparing observed data to simulated data. This technique bypasses the use of the likelihood and requires only the ability to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Patrick J. Laub

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models when the likelihood function is numerically unavailable. However, the well-established statistical method of empirical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-05 K. L. Mengersen , P. Pudlo , C. P. Robert

Computer-based tests with randomly generated questions allow a large number of different tests to be generated. Given a fixed number of alternatives for each question, the number of tests that need to be generated before all possible…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-04 Charles M. Goldie , Rosie Cornish , Carol L. Robinson

Refined vaccine regimens containing variant-matched inserts are often authorized based on historical phase 3 efficacy trials together with immunobridging studies. Phase 3 trials are essential for establishing immune biomarkers that reliably…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Pan Zhao , Peter B. Gilbert , Oliver Dukes , Bo Zhang

Safe and effective preventive vaccines have the potential to help stem the HIV epidemic. The efficacy of such vaccines is typically measured in randomized, double-blind phase IIb/III trials and described as a reduction in newly acquired HIV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Yutong Jin , Alex Luedtke , Zoe Moodie , Holly Janes , David Benkeser

While conducting probabilistic surveys is the gold standard for assessing vaccine coverage, implementing these surveys poses challenges for global health. There is a need for more convenient option that is more affordable and practical.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Nathaniel Dyrkton , Shomoita Alam , Susan Shepherd , Ibrahim Sana , Kevin Phelan , Jay JH Park

Game theory has been increasingly applied in settings where the game is not known outright, but has to be estimated by sampling. For example, meta-games that arise in multi-agent evaluation can only be accessed by running a succession of…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-01-25 Tabish Rashid , Cheng Zhang , Kamil Ciosek

DataProAnalytica is a powerful application for analyzing vaccination data in health care professionals. Through visualizations and multiple correspondence analysis, it uncovers meaningful relationships between variables and categories. The…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-08-06 Luz B. Valenzuela-Narvaez , Wladimir A. Carlosviza-Amanqui , Fred Torres-Cruz

We develop a model of infection spread that takes into account the existence of a vulnerable group as well as the variability of the social relations of individuals. We develop a compartmentalized power-law model, with power-law connections…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-13 Simone Santini

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

Pathogens usually exist in heterogeneous variants, like subtypes and strains. Quantifying treatment effects on the different variants is important for guiding prevention policies and treatment development. Here we ground analyses of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-15 Gellert Perenyi , Mats J. Stensrud

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Studies of HPV vaccine efficacy usually record infections with vaccine targeted and nontargeted strains. Contrary to blinded randomized controlled trials, confounding bias can be a threat and risk compensation may occur in observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Lola Etievant

Optimization of vaccine allocations among different segments of a heterogeneous population is important for enhancing the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns in reducing the burden of epidemics. Intuitively, it would seem that…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-12-01 Nir Gavish , Guy Katriel

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has become increasingly prominent as a method for conducting parameter inference in a range of challenging statistical problems, most notably those characterized by an intractable likelihood function.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 David T. Frazier , Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Gael M. Martin , Brendan P. M. McCabe

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

Heterogeneity of population is a key factor in modeling the transmission of disease among the population and has huge impact on the outcome of the transmission. In order to investigate the decision making process in the heterogeneous mixing…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-01 Fan Bai , Qianyu Chen , Yizhuo Xu

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular computational method for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. The term "likelihood-free" refers to problems where the likelihood is intractable to compute or estimate directly, but where it…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-21 Stuart Barber , Jochen Voss , Mark Webster