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Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

A $d$-dimensional Ising model on a lattice torus is considered. As the size $n$ of the lattice tends to infinity, a Poisson approximation is given for the distribution of the number of copies in the lattice of any given local configuration,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-11 David Coupier

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

In this paper, the weak convergence of additive functionals of processes with locally independent increments and with Markov switching in the scheme of Poisson approximation is proved. For the relative compactness, a method proposed by R.…

概率论 · 数学 2009-10-20 V. S. Koroliuk , N. Limnios , I. V. Samoilenko

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-07 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

For a general renewal process $N$ (allowing delay, defect and multiple simultaneous arrivals) the independence of the first renewal epochs of the marked processes got from $N$ by Bernoulli $0$/$1$ thinning is characterized. This…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-15 Matija Vidmar

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent terms by the accompanying compound Poisson laws may be interpreted as rather sharp quantitative estimates…

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We consider random graphs with uniformly bounded edges on a Poisson point process conditioned to contain the origin. In particular we focus on the random connection model, the Boolean model and Miller-Abrahams random resistor network with…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-10 Alessandra Faggionato , Hlafo Alfie Mimun

In this work, we consider an estimation method in sparse Poisson models inspired by [1] and provide novel sign consistency results under mild conditions.

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-27 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

It is an open question whether the fractional parts of nonlinear polynomials at integers have the same fine-scale statistics as a Poisson point process. Most results towards an affirmative answer have so far been restricted to almost sure…

数论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Jens Marklof , Nadav Yesha

This article extends the autoregressive count time series model class by allowing for a model with regimes, that is, some of the parameters in the model depend on the state of an unobserved Markov chain. We develop a quasi-maximum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-26 Geir D. Berentsen , Jan Bulla , Antonello Maruotti , Bård Støve

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

We consider a variant of a classical coverage process, the boolean model in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Previous efforts have focused on convergence of the unoccupied region containing the origin to a well studied limit $C$. We study the intersection…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Jacob Richey , Amites Sarkar

We describe five types of results concerning information and concentration of discrete random variables, and relationships between them, motivated by their counterparts in the continuous case. The results we consider are information…

概率论 · 数学 2017-04-25 Oliver Johnson

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele