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Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

The assumption of group heterogeneity has become popular in panel data models. We develop a constrained Bayesian grouped estimator that exploits researchers' prior beliefs on groups in a form of pairwise constraints, indicating whether a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-31 Boyuan Zhang

In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-17 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

Large contingency tables summarizing categorical variables arise in many areas. For example in biology when a large number of biomarkers are cross-tabulated according to their discrete expression level. Interactions of the variables are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-11-17 Corinne Dahinden , Markus Kalisch , Peter Bühlmann

External information, such as prior information or expert opinions, can play an important role in the design, analysis and interpretation of clinical trials. However, little attention has been devoted thus far to incorporating external…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-24 Minge Xie , Regina Y. Liu , C. V. Damaraju , William H. Olson

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We are living in the big data era, as current technologies and networks allow for the easy and routine collection of data sets in different disciplines. Bayesian Statistics offers a flexible modeling approach which is attractive for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-09 George Karabatsos , Fabrizio Leisen

We present a new model for analyzing compositional data with structural zeros. Inspired by \cite{butler2008} who suggested a model in the presence of zero values in the data we propose a model that treats the zero values in a different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-30 Michail Tsagris

We present a Bayesian model for estimating the joint distribution of multivariate categorical data when units are nested within groups. Such data arise frequently in social science settings, for example, people living in households. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Jingchen Hu , Jerome P. Reiter , Quanli Wang

In practical situations, most experimental designs often yield unbalanced data which have different numbers of observations per unit because of cost constraints, or missing data, etc. In this paper, we consider the Bayesian approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-22 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

We consider the problem of choosing between parametric models for a discrete observable, taking a Bayesian approach in which the within-model prior distributions are allowed to be improper. In order to avoid the ambiguity in the marginal…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Silvia Columbu

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

In this paper, we employ a Bayesian approach to uncertainty quantification of computer simulations used to assess the probability of rare events. As a case study, we assess the reliability of an Earth reentry capsule for sample return…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-11 Dawn L. Sanderson , Amy Braverman , Giuseppe Cataldo , Ralph C. Smith , Richard L. Smith

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

We propose a novel approach for estimating conditional or parametric expectations in the setting where obtaining samples or evaluating integrands is costly. Through the framework of probabilistic numerical methods (such as Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol

Data sets in the form of binary matrices are ubiquitous across scientific domains, and researchers are often interested in identifying and quantifying noteworthy structure. One approach is to compare the observed data to that which might be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Alex Fout , Bailey K. Fosdick , Matthew P. Hitt

The analysis of incomplete contingency tables is an important problem, which is also of practical interest. In this paper, we consider boundary solutions under nonignorable nonresponse models in two-way incomplete tables with data on both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-02 S. Ghosh , P. Vellaisamy