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We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems provides a practical way to solve ill-posed problems by augmenting the observation model with prior information. Due to the measure-theoretic underpinnings, the approach has raised theoretical…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-12 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

The stationary distribution of allele frequencies under a variety of Wright--Fisher $k$-allele models with selection and parent independent mutation is well studied. However, the statistical properties of maximum likelihood estimates of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-10-12 Erkan Ozge Buzbas , Paul Joyce

In Bayesian inference for mixture models with an unknown number of components, a finite mixture model is usually employed that assumes prior distributions for mixing weights and the number of components. This model is called a mixture of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

The computation and inversion of the binomial and negative binomial cumulative distribution functions play a key role in many applications. In this paper, we explain how methods used for the central beta distribution function (described in…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2020-01-14 A. Gil , J. Segura , N. M. Temme

The counterfactual distribution models the effect of the treatment in the untreated group. While most of the work focuses on the expected values of the treatment effect, one may be interested in the whole counterfactual distribution or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

The Richardson-Lucy unfolding approach is simple and excellently performing. It efficiently suppresses artificial high frequency contributions and permits to introduce known features of the true distribution. An algorithm to fix the number…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Guenter Zech

The estimation of coverage probabilities, and in particular of the missing mass, is a classical statistical problem with applications in numerous scientific fields. In this paper, we study this problem in relation to randomized data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

Using probability theory we derive an expression for the sum of a series of definite integrals involving upper incomplete Gamma functions. In the proof, a normal variance mixture distribution with Beta mixing distributions plays a crucial…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy , István Mező

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

In this paper, we discuss computational aspects to obtain accurate inferences for the parameters of the generalized gamma (GG) distribution. Usually, the solution of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the GG distribution have no…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-26 Jorge Alberto Achcar , Pedro Luiz Ramos , Edson Zangiacomi Martinez

The empirical Bayes estimators in mixed models are useful for small area estimation in the sense of increasing precision of prediction for small area means, and one wants to know the prediction errors of the empirical Bayes estimators based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The beta distribution is a basic distribution serving several purposes. It is used to model data, and also, as a more flexible version of the uniform distribution, it serves as a prior distribution for a binomial probability. The bivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-17 Ingram Olkin , Thomas A. Trikalinos

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

The popular K-means clustering algorithm potentially suffers from a major weakness for further analysis or interpretation. Some cluster may have disproportionately more (or fewer) points from one of the subpopulations in terms of some…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Guancheng Zhou , Haiping Xu , Hongkang Xu , Chenyu Li , Donghui Yan

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

We consider inverse problems estimating distributed parameters from indirect noisy observations through discretization of continuum models described by partial differential or integral equations. It is well understood that the errors…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-09 Albero Bocchinfuso , Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

The most well known probability distribution of probabilities is the Beta distribution. If we have observed $r$ `successes', each having a probability $\theta$, and $n-r$ `failures', each having a probability $1-\theta$. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-04 H. R. N. van Erp , R. O. Linger , P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder

Mixture models are widely used in Bayesian statistics and machine learning, in particular in computational biology, natural language processing and many other fields. Variational inference, a technique for approximating intractable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier
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