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相关论文: Computing Bayesian predictive distributions: The K…

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The implementation of Bayesian predictive procedures under standard normal models is considered. Two distributions are of particular interest, the K-prime and K-square distributions. They also give exact inferences for simple and multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

This paper builds on recent research that focuses on regression modeling of continuous bounded data, such as proportions measured on a continuous scale. Specifically, it deals with beta regression models with mixed effects from a Bayesian…

A new method for the computation of the posterior distribution of the number k of components in a finite mixture is presented. Two aspects of prior specification are also studied: an argument is made for the use of a Poisson(1) distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-11-06 Agostino Nobile

Optimality results for two outstanding Bayesian estimation problems are given in this paper: the estimation of the sampling distribution for the squared total variation function and the estimation of the density for the $L^1$-squared loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

This survey covers state-of-the-art Bayesian techniques for the estimation of mixtures. It complements the earlier Marin, Mengersen and Robert (2005) by studying new types of distributions, the multinomial, latent class and t distributions.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-04-16 Kate Lee , Jean-Michel Marin , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian P. Robert

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

In this paper we take up Bayesian inference in general multivariate stable distributions. We exploit the representation of Matsui and Takemura (2009) for univariate projections, and the representation of the distributions in terms of their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-28 Mike G. Tsionas

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-30 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Jesse Windle

The widely recommended procedure of Bayesian model averaging is flawed in the M-open setting in which the true data-generating process is not one of the candidate models being fit. We take the idea of stacking from the point estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman

There is no easy extension of Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-Aalen estimators to the bivariate case, and estimating bivariate survival distributions nonparametrically is associated with various non-trivial problems. The Dabrowska estimator will…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-15 J. K. Ghosh , Nils Lid Hjort , C. Messan , R. V. Ramamoorthi

As for other latent-variable problems, exact Bayesian analysis is typically not practicable for mixture problems and approximate methods have been developed. Variational Bayes tends to produce approximate posterior distributions for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Nils Lid Hjort , Mike Titterington

We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Edgar C. Merkle , Oludare Ariyo , Sonja D. Winter , Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal

The posterior distribution of the number of components k in a finite mixture satisfies a set of inequality constraints. The result holds irrespective of the parametric form of the mixture components and under assumptions on the prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Agostino Nobile

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Bayesian methods are often optimal, yet increasing pressure for fast computations, especially with streaming data, brings renewed interest in faster, possibly sub-optimal, solutions. The extent to which these algorithms approximate Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-18 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone
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