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相关论文: Asymptotic Optimality in Bayesian Change-Point Det…

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In this paper, we discuss a class of distributed detection algorithms which can be viewed as implementations of Bayes' law in distributed settings. Some of the algorithms are proposed in the literature most recently, and others are first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Qipeng Liu , Jiuhua Zhao , Xiaofan Wang

In many real-world problems of real-time monitoring high-dimensional streaming data, one wants to detect an undesired event or change quickly once it occurs, but under the sampling control constraint in the sense that one might be able to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Wanrong Zhang , Yajun Mei

The goal of the paper is to develop a specific application of the convex optimization based hypothesis testing techniques developed in A. Juditsky, A. Nemirovski, "Hypothesis testing via affine detectors," Electronic Journal of Statistics…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-09 Yang Cao , Vincent Guigues , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski , Yao Xie

In this paper, we consider a non-Bayesian sequential change detection based on the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) algorithm employed by an energy harvesting sensor where the distributions before and after the change are assumed to be known. In a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Subhrakanti Dey

The problem of detecting changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic system and time series arises in various branches of science and engineering. It has a wide spectrum of important applications ranging from machine monitoring to…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-19 Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Taposh Banerjee

As saturated output observations are ubiquitous in practice, identifying stochastic systems with such nonlinear observations is a fundamental problem across various fields. This paper investigates the asymptotically efficient identification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-07 Lantian Zhang , Lei Guo

Bayesian inference is a widely used statistical method. The free energy and generalization loss, which are used to estimate the accuracy of Bayesian inference, are known to be small in singular models that do not have a unique optimal…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Shuya Nagayasu , Sumio Watanabe

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

This paper establishes that an exactly optimal rule for Bayesian Quickest Change Detection (QCD) of Markov chains is a threshold test on the no change posterior. We also provide a computationally efficient scalar filter for the no change…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-27 Jason J. Ford , Justin M. Kennedy , Caitlin Tompkins , Jasmin James , Aaron McFadyen

The problem of joint detection and lossless source coding is considered. We derive asymptotically optimal decision rules for deciding whether or not a sequence of observations has emerged from a desired information source, and to compress…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Stochastic optimal control with unknown randomness distributions has been studied for a long time, encompassing robust control, distributionally robust control, and adaptive control. We propose a new episodic Bayesian approach that…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-02 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin , Yuhao Wang

Regularized system identification is the major advance in system identification in the last decade. Although many promising results have been achieved, it is far from complete and there are still many key problems to be solved. One of them…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-05 Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Lennart Ljung , Tianshi Chen

Motivated by applications to group synchronization and quadratic assignment on random data, we study a general problem of Bayesian inference of an unknown ``signal'' belonging to a high-dimensional compact group, given noisy pairwise…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Kaylee Y. Yang , Timothy L. H. Wee , Zhou Fan

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

We consider the problem of sequential detection of a change in the statistical behavior of a hidden Markov model. By adopting a worst-case analysis with respect to the time of change and by taking into account the data that can be accessed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-29 George V. Moustakides

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia