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We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq

We propose a monitoring strategy for efficient and robust estimation of disease prevalence and case numbers within closed and enumerated populations such as schools, workplaces, or retirement communities. The proposed design relies largely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Robert H. Lyles , Yuzi Zhang , Lin Ge , Lance A. Waller

We develop a new method to sample from posterior distributions in hierarchical models without using Markov chain Monte Carlo. This method, which is a variant of importance sampling ideas, is generally applicable to high-dimensional models…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

These lecture notes provide an introduction to recent advances in generative modeling methods based on the dynamical transportation of measures, by means of which samples from a simple base measure are mapped to samples from a target…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Michael S. Albergo , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

The Horvitz-Thompson (HT) estimator is widely used in survey sampling. However, the variance of the HT estimator becomes large when the inclusion probabilities are highly heterogeneous. To overcome this shortcoming, in this paper, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-13 Xianpeng Zong , Rong Zhu , Guohua Zou

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

An importance sampling approach for sampling copula models is introduced. We propose two algorithms that improve Monte Carlo estimators when the functional of interest depends mainly on the behaviour of the underlying random vector when at…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-08 Philipp Arbenz , Mathieu Cambou , Marius Hofert

Quantile regression has been successfully used to study heterogeneous and heavy-tailed data. Varying-coefficient models are frequently used to capture changes in the effect of input variables on the response as a function of an index or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-18 Ran Dai , Mladen Kolar

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

We propose a M-quantile regression model for the analysis of multivariate, continuous, longitudinal data. M-quantile regression represents an appealing alternative to standard regression models, as it combines the robustness of quantile and…

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

We develop estimation and inference methods for a stylized macroeconomic model with potentially multiple behavioural equilibria, where agents form expectations using a constant-gain learning rule. We first show geometric ergodicity of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-10 Alexander Mayer , Davide Raggi

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

Integrative modeling of macromolecular assemblies allows for structural characterization of large assemblies that are recalcitrant to direct experimental observation. A Bayesian inference approach facilitates combining data from…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2026-01-13 Shreyas Arvindekar , Kartik Majila , Shruthi Viswanath

The purpose of this paper is to investigate and develop methods for analysis of multi-center randomized clinical trials which only rely on the randomization process as a basis of inference. Our motivation is prompted by the fact that most…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-07-28 Lu Zheng , Marvin Zelen

The need to calibrate increasingly complex statistical models requires a persistent effort for further advances on available, computationally intensive Monte Carlo methods. We study here an advanced version of familiar Markov Chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Alexandros Beskos , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Erik Pazos

Statisticians increasingly face the problem to reconsider the adaptability of classical inference techniques. In particular, divers types of high-dimensional data structures are observed in various research areas; disclosing the boundaries…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova