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A large class of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on sup-functionals of weighted empirical processes is proposed and studied. The weight functions employed are Erd\H{o}s-Feller-Kolmogorov-Petrovski upper-class functions of a Brownian…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-04 Natalia Stepanova , Tatjana Pavlenko

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Alejandra López-Pérez , Manuel Febrero-Bande , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

We propose several statistics to test the Markov hypothesis for $\beta$-mixing stationary processes sampled at discrete time intervals. Our tests are based on the Chapman--Kolmogorov equation. We establish the asymptotic null distributions…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jianqing Fan , Jiancheng Jiang

We study the problem of active nonparametric sequential two-sample testing over multiple heterogeneous data sources. In each time slot, a decision-maker adaptively selects one of $K$ data sources and receives a paired sample generated from…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Chia-Yu Hsu , Shubhanshu Shekhar

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for stochastic differential equation with small diffiusion coefficient. The basic hypothesis is always simple and it is described by the known trend coefficient. We propose several tests of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

This article proposes omnibus portmanteau tests for contrasting adequacy of time series models. The test statistics are based on combining the autocorrelation function of the conditional residuals, the autocorrelation function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Esam Mahdi

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We construct new testing procedures for spherical and elliptical symmetry based on the characterization that a random vector $X$ with finite mean has a spherical distribution if and only if $\Ex[u^\top X | v^\top X] = 0$ holds for any two…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-29 Isaia Albisetti , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hajo Holzmann

The supremum of the standardized empirical process is a promising statistic for testing whether the distribution function $F$ of i.i.d. real random variables is either equal to a given distribution function $F_0$ (hypothesis) or $F \ge F_0$…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-19 Dietmar Ferger

In this work a method for statistical analysis of time series is proposed, which is used to obtain solutions to some classical problems of mathematical statistics under the only assumption that the process generating the data is stationary…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-04-05 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

When comparing two distributions, it is often helpful to learn at which quantiles or values there is a statistically significant difference. This provides more information than the binary "reject" or "do not reject" decision of a global…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-16 Matt Goldman , David M. Kaplan

We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

In this paper we consider autoregressive models with conditional autoregressive variance, including the case of homoscedastic AR-models and the case of ARCH models. Our aim is to test the hypothesis of normality for the innovations in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-07 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

We consider two problems of constructing of goodness of fit tests for ergodic diffusion processes. The first one is concerned with a composite basic hypothesis for a parametric class of diffusion processes, which includes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-06 Yury A. Kutoyants