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Spatial whole-brain Bayesian modeling of task-related functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is a great computational challenge. Most of the currently proposed methods therefore do inference in subregions of the brain separately or do…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-03 Per Sidén , Anders Eklund , David Bolin , Mattias Villani

P\'{o}lya trees fix partitions and use random probabilities in order to construct random probability measures. With quantile pyramids we instead fix probabilities and use random partitions. For nonparametric Bayesian inference we use a…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

From the Bayesian perspective, the category of conditional probabilities (a variant of the Kleisli category of the Giry monad, whose objects are measurable spaces and arrows are Markov kernels) gives a nice framework for conceptualization…

范畴论 · 数学 2013-12-06 Jared Culbertson , Kirk Sturtz

We propose a novel Bayesian inference framework for distributed differentially private linear regression. We consider a distributed setting where multiple parties hold parts of the data and share certain summary statistics of their portions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Barış Alparslan , Sinan Yıldırım , Ş. İlker Birbil

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

Bayesian model-based clustering is a widely applied procedure for discovering groups of related observations in a dataset. These approaches use Bayesian mixture models, estimated with MCMC, which provide posterior samples of the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-24 Ketong Wang , Michael D. Porter

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

The methodology developed in this article is motivated by a wide range of prediction and uncertainty quantification problems that arise in Statistics, Machine Learning and Applied Mathematics, such as non-parametric regression, multi-class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Victor Chen , Matthew M. Dunlop , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Andrew M. Stuart

Mutual independence is a key concept in statistics that characterizes the structural relationships between variables. Existing methods to investigate mutual independence rely on the definition of two competing models, one being nested into…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-09 Guillaume Marrelec , Alain Giron

Non-Gaussian likelihoods, ubiquitous throughout cosmology, are a direct consequence of nonlinearities in the physical model. Their treatment requires Monte-Carlo Markov-chain or more advanced sampling methods for the determination of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-24 Lennart Röver , Lea Carlotta Bartels , Björn Malte Schäfer

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Principal component analysis (PCA) is very popular to perform dimension reduction. The selection of the number of significant components is essential but often based on some practical heuristics depending on the application. Only few works…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Clément Elvira , Pierre Chainais , Nicolas Dobigeon

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

This paper presents Sparse Partitioning, a Bayesian method for identifying predictors that either individually or in combination with others affect a response variable. The method is designed for regression problems involving binary or…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-08-31 Doug Speed , Simon Tavaré

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

Bayesian regression trees are flexible non-parametric models that are well suited to many modern statistical regression problems. Many such tree models have been proposed, from the simple single- tree model to more complex tree ensembles.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-09 M. T. Pratola

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a widely used inference method in Bayesian statistics to bypass the point-wise computation of the likelihood. In this paper we develop theoretical bounds for the distance between the statistics used…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-03 James Ridgway

In many hierarchical inverse problems, not only do we want to estimate high- or infinite-dimensional model parameters in the parameter-to-observable maps, but we also have to estimate hyperparameters that represent critical assumptions in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Johnathan Bardsley , Tiangang Cui