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In this paper, we address high-dimensional parametric estimation of the drift function in diffusion models, specifically focusing on a $d$-dimensional ergodic diffusion process observed at discrete time points. We consider both a general…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-09 Chiara Amorino , Francisco Pina , Mark Podolskij

Within the nonparametric diffusion model, we develop a multiple test to infer about similarity of an unknown drift $b$ to some reference drift $b_0$: At prescribed significance, we simultaneously identify those regions where violation from…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-17 Johannes Brutsche , Angelika Rohde

We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

Usually the problem of drift estimation for a diffusion process is considered under the hypothesis of ergodicity. It is less often considered under the hypothesis of null-recurrence, simply because there are fewer limit theorems and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-08-25 D. Loukianova , O. Loukianov

As a starting point we prove a functional central limit theorem for estimators of the invariant measure of a geometrically ergodic Harris-recurrent Markov chain in a multi-scale space. This allows to construct confidence bands for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-18 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the drift function of a jump diffusion process $X$ computed from multiple independent copies of $X$ observed on $[0,T]$. Risk bounds are established on this estimator and on an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-19 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

We develop and analyze a general technique for learning with an unknown distribution drift. Given a sequence of independent observations from the last $T$ steps of a drifting distribution, our algorithm agnostically learns a family of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

We treat the change point problem in ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Tonaki et al. (2020) proposed adaptive tests for detecting changes in the diffusion and drift parameters in ergodic diffusion models. When any…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

A problem of goodness-of-fit test for ergodic diffusion processes is presented. In the null hypothesis the drift of the diffusion is supposed to be in a parametric form with unknown shift parameter. Two Cramer-Von Mises type test statistics…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-30 Ilia Negri , Li Zhou

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t), with drift function b, diffusion coefficient sigma and jump coefficient xi^{2}. This process is observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-27 Emeline Schmisser

We study the infinite-horizon average (ergodic) risk sensitive control problem for diffusion processes under a general structural hypothesis: there is a partition of state space into two subsets, where the controlled diffusion process…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-01 Sumith Reddy Anugu , Guodong Pang

It is argued that a diffusion may be ergodic even though the drift field has unbounded outward-directed parts. The discussion employs stochastic and numerical methods.

动力系统 · 数学 2012-05-23 Horst Thaler

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen