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This paper investigates the use of stratified sampling as a variance reduction technique for approximating integrals over large dimensional spaces. The accuracy of this method critically depends on the choice of the space partition, the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-15 Pierre Etoré , Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Eric Moulines

We introduce a new Monte Carlo method by incorporating a guided distribution function to the conventional Monte Carlo method. In this way, the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods is drastically improved. To further speed up the algorithm, we…

计算物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. P. Li

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

The Heston stochastic-local volatility model, consisting of a asset price process and a Cox--Ingersoll--Ross-type variance process, offers a wide range of applications in the financial industry. The pursuit for efficient model evaluation…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-16 Meng cai , Tianze Li

Many machine learning problems optimize an objective that must be measured with noise. The primary method is a first order stochastic gradient descent using one or more Monte Carlo (MC) samples at each step. There are settings where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Sifan Liu , Art B. Owen

Pricing exotic multi-asset path-dependent options requires extensive Monte Carlo simulations. In the recent years the interest to the Quasi-monte Carlo technique has been renewed and several results have been proposed in order to improve…

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-01 Piergiacomo Sabino

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

The fundamental purpose of the present work is to constitute an enhanced Euler method with adaptive inverse-quadratic and inverse-multi-quadratic radial basis function (RBF) interpolation technique to solve initial value problems. These…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-02-21 Samala Rathan , Deepit Shah

Partial identification often arises when the joint distribution of the data is known only up to its marginals. We consider the corresponding partially identified GMM model and develop a methodology for identification, estimation, and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-29 Grigory Franguridi , Laura Liu

The delta method is a popular and elementary tool for deriving limiting distributions of transformed statistics, while applications of asymptotic distributions do not allow one to obtain desirable accuracy of approximation for tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-19 Fuqing Gao , Xingqiu Zhao

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

We consider upper bounds for the approximation error E|g(X)-g(\hat X)|^p, where X and \hat X are random variables such that \hat X is an approximation of X in the L_p-norm, and the function g belongs to certain function classes, which…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-24 Rainer Avikainen

We study the theoretical limits of the $\ell_0$ (quasi) norm based optimization algorithms when employed for solving classical compressed sensing or sparse regression problems. Considering standard contexts with deterministic signals and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-11 Mihailo Stojnic

In this article we consider a Monte Carlo-based method to filter partially observed diffusions observed at regular and discrete times. Given access only to Euler discretizations of the diffusion process, we present a new procedure which can…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-12 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Fangyuan Yu

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-09 Bo Kai , Runze Li , Hui Zou

In finite element methods (FEMs), the accuracy of the solution cannot increase indefinitely because the round-off error increases when the number of degrees of freedom (DoFs) is large enough. This means that the accuracy that can be reached…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-12-18 Jie Liu , Matthias Möller , Henk M. Schuttelaars

We first derive the exponential ergodicity of the stochastic theta method (STM) with $\theta \in (1/2,1]$ for monotone jump-diffusion stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) under a dissipative condition. Then we establish the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-11 Zhihui Liu , Xiaoming Wu