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We present a novel algorithm for generating robust and consistent hypotheses for multiple-structure model fitting. Most of the existing methods utilize random sampling which produce varying results especially when outlier ratio is high. For…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-26 Kwang Hee Lee , Chanki Yu , Sang Wook Lee

Individual risk models need to capture possible correlations as failing to do so typically results in an underestimation of extreme quantiles of the aggregate loss. Such dependence modelling is particularly important for managing credit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Michel Denuit , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

This invited feature article introduces and provides an extensive simulation study of a new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework for estimating the posterior distribution and the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 George Karabatsos

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

In this paper, we consider a stochastic recursive optimal control problem under model uncertainty. In this framework, the cost function is described by solutions of a family of backward stochastic differential equations. With the help of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-16 Mingshang Hu , Falei Wang

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

We study reward maximisation in a wide class of structured stochastic multi-armed bandit problems, where the mean rewards of arms satisfy some given structural constraints, e.g. linear, unimodal, sparse, etc. Our aim is to develop methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Rémy Degenne , Han Shao , Wouter M. Koolen

This paper proposes a recursive interval-valued estimation framework for identifying the parameters of linearly parameterized systems which may be slowly time-varying. It is assumed that the model error (which may consist in measurement…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-22 Laurent Bako , Seydi Ndiaye , Eric Blanco

Kernel and linear regression have been recently explored in the prediction of graph signals as the output, given arbitrary input signals that are agnostic to the graph. In many real-world problems, the graph expands over time as new nodes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-27 Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee , Bo Wahlberg

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park

The restricted maximum likelihood method enhances popularity of maximum likelihood methods for variance component analysis on large scale unbalanced data. As the high throughput biological data sets and the emerged science on uncertainty…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

This paper studies the distributed adaptiveestimation problems for stochastic large regression modelswith an infinite number of parameters. By constructing a re-cursive local cost function, we propose a novel distributedrecursive least…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-29 Die Gan , Siyu Xie , Zhixin Liu , Xuebo Zhang

We study the problem of learning a directed acyclic graph from data generated according to an additive, non-linear structural equation model with Gaussian noise. We express each non-linear function through a basis expansion, and derive a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Xiaozhu Zhang , Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

The relationship between a response variable and its covariates can vary significantly, especially in scenarios where covariates take on extremely high or low values. This paper introduces a max-linear tail regression model specifically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

We propose and study a maximum likelihood estimator of stochastic frontier models with endogeneity in cross-section data when the composite error term may be correlated with inputs and environmental variables. Our framework is a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-02 Samuele Centorrino , María Pérez-Urdiales

We consider a robust model proposed by Scarf, 1958, for stochastic optimization when only the marginal probabilities of (binary) random variables are given, and the correlation between the random variables is unknown. In the robust model,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2009-10-11 Shipra Agrawal , Yichuan Ding , Amin Saberi , Yinyu Ye

Regression analysis based on many covariates is becoming increasingly common. However, when the number of covariates $p$ is of the same order as the number of observations $n$, maximum likelihood regression becomes unreliable due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Emanuele Massa , Marianne Jonker , Kit Roes , Anthony Coolen

The recursive and hierarchical structure of full rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. In most of these cases, the full rooted tree is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier