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We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-28 Nguyen Q. Tran , Oleksii Abramenko , Alexander Jung

Gaussian processes are valuable tools for non-parametric modelling, where typically an assumption of stationarity is employed. While removing this assumption can improve prediction, fitting such models is challenging. In this work,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-02 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Lassi Roininen , Sara Wade , Theo Damoulas , Mark Girolami

We consider different models of stochastic dissipative equations and theoretically compute the probability distribution functions (actually the associated large deviation functions) of the time averaged injected power required to sustain a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Jean Farago

The characteristic feature of the discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes is the invariance of their finite dimensional distributions by dilation for certain scaling factor. DSI process with piecewise linear drift and stationary increments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-05 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

The crossover among two or more types of diffusive processes represents a vibrant theme in nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work we propose two models to generate crossovers among different L\'evy processes: in the first model we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-09-15 Maike A. F. dos Santos , Fernando D. Nobre , Evaldo M. F. Curado

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The use of Gaussian process models is typically limited to datasets with a few tens of thousands of observations due to their complexity and memory footprint. The two most commonly used methods to overcome this limitation are 1) the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Vincent Adam , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Nicolas Durrande , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

The asymmetric switch process is a binary stochastic process that alternates between the values one and minus one, where the distributions of the time in these states may differ. Two versions of the process are considered: a non-stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

We introduce a technique to merge two biased Brownian motions into a single regular process. The outcome follows a stochastic differential equation with a constant diffusion coefficient and a non-linear drift. The emerging stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-03 Miquel Montero

We propose a discrete-time, finite-state stationary process that can possess long-range dependence. Among the interesting features of this process is that each state can have different long-term dependency, i.e., the indicator sequence can…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-19 Jeonghwa Lee

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

Stochastic processes are proposed whose master equations coincide with classical wave, telegraph, and Klein-Gordon equations. Similar to predecessors based on the Goldstein-Kac telegraph process, the model describes the motion of particles…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-18 A. V. Plyukhin

Stochastic processes with multiplicative noise have been studied independently in several different contexts over the past decades. We focus on the regime, found for a generic set of control parameters, in which stochastic processes with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 D. Sornette

We introduce a random partition model for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The model is based on infinitely-many disjoint regions of the range of a latent covariate-dependent Gaussian process. Given a realization of the process, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-04 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Several methods are available in the literature to stochastically compare random variables and random vectors. We introduce the notion of asymptotic stochastic order for random processes and define four such orders. Various properties and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-03 Sugata Ghosh , Asok K. Nanda

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots