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This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

In finite mixture models, apart from underlying mixing measure, true kernel density function of each subpopulation in the data is, in many scenarios, unknown. Perhaps the most popular approach is to choose some kernel functions that we…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-26 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen , Ya'acov Ritov

Many statistical estimation procedures lead to nonconvex optimization problems. Algorithms to solve these are often guaranteed to output a stationary point of the optimization problem. Oracle inequalities are an important theoretical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-28 Andreas Elsener , Sara van de Geer

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Many machine learning tasks such as clustering, classification, and dataset search benefit from embedding data points in a space where distances reflect notions of relative similarity as perceived by humans. A common way to construct such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-25 Gregory Canal , Stefano Fenu , Christopher Rozell

We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

We consider the task of estimating a conditional density using i.i.d. samples from a joint distribution, which is a fundamental problem with applications in both classification and uncertainty quantification for regression. For joint…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

We consider the problem of model selection and estimation in situations where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. When the dimension is high, an ideal method should have the oracle property [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 96…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Hui Zou , Hao Helen Zhang

Effective sample size is a standard summary of Markov chain Monte Carlo output, but it is usually attached to scalar or Euclidean summaries chosen by the analyst. For manifold-valued samples this choice is not canonical: coordinate-wise…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Kisung You

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a template in a randomly shifted curve model. Using the Fourier transform of the data, we show that this problem can be transformed into a stochastic linear inverse problem. Our aim…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-10 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Clément Marteau

We construct near-optimal coresets for kernel density estimates for points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ when the kernel is positive definite. Specifically we show a polynomial time construction for a coreset of size $O(\sqrt{d}/\varepsilon\cdot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-15 Jeff M. Phillips , Wai Ming Tai

Accurate density estimation methodologies play an integral role in a variety of scientific disciplines, with applications including simulation models, decision support tools, and exploratory data analysis. In the past, histograms and kernel…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-14 Judson B. Locke , Adrian M. Peter

Traditional density and quantile estimators are often inconsistent with each other. Their simultaneous usage may lead to inconsistent results. To address this issue, we propose a novel smooth density estimator that is naturally consistent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-08 Andrey Akinshin

In the this paper, the authors propose to estimate the density of a targeted population with a weighted kernel density estimator (wKDE) based on a weighted sample. Bandwidth selection for wKDE is discussed. Three mean integrated squared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-28 Bin Wang , Xiaofeng Wang

A kernel method for estimating a probability density function (pdf) from an i.i.d. sample drawn from such density is presented. Our estimator is a linear combination of kernel functions, the coefficients of which are determined by a linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-20 Yoshihito Kazashi , Fabio Nobile

We consider the problem of optimality, in a minimax sense, and adaptivity to the margin and to regularity in binary classification. We prove an oracle inequality, under the margin assumption (low noise condition), satisfied by an…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Guillaume Lecué

We address the problem of adaptive minimax density estimation on $\bR^d$ with $\bL_p$--loss on the anisotropic Nikol'skii classes. We fully characterize behavior of the minimax risk for different relationships between regularity parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-19 A. Goldenshluger , O. Lepski

Adaptive importance sampling is a powerful tool to sample from complicated target densities, but its success depends sensitively on the initial proposal density. An algorithm is presented to automatically perform the initialization using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-01 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell

Kernel density estimation is a convenient way to estimate the probability density of a distribution given the sample of data points. However, it has certain drawbacks: proper description of the density using narrow kernels needs large data…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-02-27 Anton Poluektov