相关论文: Asymptotics for hitting times

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

We study the asymptotics of iterates of the transfer operator for non-uniformly hyperbolic $\alpha$-Farey maps. We provide a family of observables which are Riemann integrable, locally constant and of bounded variation, and for which the…

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

We study the dynamics of a transformation that acts on infinite paths in the graph associated with Pascal's triangle. For each ergodic invariant measure the asymptotic law of the return time to cylinders is given by a step function. We…

The subject of robust estimation in time series is widely discussed in literature. One of the approaches is to use GM-estimation. This method incorporates a broad class of nonparametric estimators which under suitable conditions includes…

We consider the compressible Euler system with a family of nonlinear velocity alignments. The system is a nonlinear extension of the Euler-alignment system in collective dynamics. We show the asymptotic emergent phenomena of the system:…

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

The aim of this article is to prove asymptotic shape theorems for the contact process in stationary random environment. These theorems generalize known results for the classical contact process. In particular, if H_t denotes the set of…

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

The time it takes a random walker in a lattice to reach the origin from another vertex $x$, has infinite mean. If the walker can restart the walk at $x$ at will, then the minimum expected hitting time $T(x,0)$ (minimized over restarting…

The system of equations for parametric sub-resonant growth of the amplitude of oscillations was obtained. The time of turning point from the growing of the amplitude to the bounded oscillations in the slow variable was found. The comparison…

For $\alpha>\beta-1>0$, we obtain two sided inequalities for the moment integral $I(\alpha,\beta)= \int_{\mathbb{R}} |x|^{-\beta}|\sin x|^{\alpha}dx$. These are then used to give the exact asymptotic behavior of the integral as $\alpha \to…

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

We prove a new result in the area of hitting time statistics. Currently, there is a lot of papers showing that the first entry times into cylinders or balls are often faster than the Birkhoff's Ergodic Theorem would suggest. We provide an…

Multidimensional hypoelliptic diffusions arise naturally in different fields, for example to model neuronal activity. Estimation in those models is complex because of the degenerate structure of the diffusion coefficient. In this paper we…

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

We consider the problem of the construction of the goodness-of-fit tests for diffusion processes with small noise. The basic hypothesis is composite parametric and our goal is to obtain asymptotically distribution free tests. We propose two…

We show that alpha stable L\'evy motions can be simulated by any ergodic and aperiodic probability preserving transformation. Namely we show: - for $0<\alpha<1$ and every $\alpha$ stable L\'evy motion $\mathbb{W}$, there exists a function f…

We consider the hard-core model with Metropolis transition probabilities on finite grid graphs and investigate the asymptotic behavior of the first hitting time between its two maximum-occupancy configurations in the low-temperature regime.…