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Classical peaks over threshold analysis is widely used for statistical modeling of sample extremes, and can be supplemented by a model for the sizes of clusters of exceedances. Under mild conditions a compound Poisson process model allows…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Mária Süveges , Anthony C. Davison

When solving NLP tasks with limited labelled data, researchers typically either use a general large language model without further update, or use a small number of labelled samples to tune a specialised smaller model. In this work, we…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Branislav Pecher , Ivan Srba , Maria Bielikova

Large language models (LLMs) are evaluated for calibration using metrics such as Expected Calibration Error that conflate two distinct components: the model's ability to discriminate correct from incorrect answers (sensitivity) and its…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Jon-Paul Cacioli

Constraints on cosmological parameters are often distilled from sky surveys by fitting templates to summary statistics of the data that are motivated by a fiducial cosmological model. However, recent work has shown how to estimate the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-16 Aseem Paranjape , Ravi K. Sheth

This article contains two main theoretical results on neural spike train models. The first assumes that the spike train is modeled as a counting or point process on the real line where the conditional intensity function is a product of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Hock Peng Chan , Wei-Liem Loh

Thanks to technological advances leading to near-continuous time observations, emerging multivariate point process data offer new opportunities for causal discovery. However, a key obstacle in achieving this goal is that many relevant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-15 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

Point pattern matching problems are of fundamental importance in various areas including computer vision and structural bioinformatics. In this paper, we study one of the more general problems, known as LCP (largest common point set…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Vicky Choi , Navin Goyal

We deal with a planar random flight $\{(X(t),Y(t)),0<t\leq T\}$ observed at $n+1$ equidistant times $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,...,n$. The aim of this paper is to estimate the unknown value of the parameter $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Alessandro De Gregorio

We consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process $X$ on $[0,T]$. The intensity function of $X$ is supposed to be strictly positive and smooth on $[0,T]$ except at the point $\theta$, in which it has either a 0-type singularity (tends to 0 like…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian

This paper introduces a unified framework for the detection of a source with a sensor array in the context where the noise variance and the channel between the source and the sensors are unknown at the receiver. The Generalized Maximum…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-16 Pascal Bianchi , Merouane Debbah , Mylène Maïda , Jamal Najim

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

Let X_1,...., X_n be a collection of iid discrete random variables, and Y_1,..., Y_m a set of noisy observations of such variables. Assume each observation Y_a to be a random function of some a random subset of the X_i's, and consider the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-09-04 Andrea Montanari

This paper considers filters (the Mexican hat wavelet, the matched and the scale-adaptive filters) that optimize the detection/separation of point sources on a background. We make a one-dimensional treatment, we assume that the sources have…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz , D. Herranz , E. Martinez-Gonzalez

Consider an experiment involving a potentially small number of subjects. Some random variables are observed on each subject: a high-dimensional one called the "observed" random variable, and a one-dimensional one called the "outcome" random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-15 Tarun Yellamraju , Mireille Boutin

Most of the literature on change-point analysis by means of hypothesis testing considers hypotheses of the form H0 : \theta_1 = \theta_2 vs. H1 : \theta_1 != \theta_2, where \theta_1 and \theta_2 denote parameters of the process before and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Holger Dette , Dominik Wied

We study the $L^{\infty}$ discrepancy of point sets generated by determinantal point processes on all compact, connected two-point homogeneous spaces, namely spheres and projective spaces. Using concentration inequalities and variance…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2026-05-22 Carlos Beltrán , Ujué Etayo , Giacomo Gigante , Pedro R. López-Gómez , Ryan W. Matzke

Large language models achieve high performance on many but not all downstream tasks. The interaction between pretraining data and task data is commonly assumed to determine this variance: a task with data that is more similar to a model's…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 Gregory Yauney , Emily Reif , David Mimno

Data in the form of pairwise comparisons arises in many domains, including preference elicitation, sporting competitions, and peer grading among others. We consider parametric ordinal models for such pairwise comparison data involving a…

Given a sequence of observable variables $\{(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)\}$, the conformal prediction method estimates a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ that is valid for any finite sample size by merely assuming that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-12 Etash Kumar Guha , Eugene Ndiaye , Xiaoming Huo

This paper provides statistical sample complexity bounds for score-matching and its applications in causal discovery. We demonstrate that accurate estimation of the score function is achievable by training a standard deep ReLU neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-30 Zhenyu Zhu , Francesco Locatello , Volkan Cevher