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This paper is an original attempt to understand the foundations of economic reasoning. It endeavors to rigorously define the relationship between subjective interpretations and objective valuations of such interpretations in the context of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Daniel Lu

We find conditions which guarantee moment (in)determinacy of powers and products of nonnegative random variables. We establish new and general results which are based either on the rate of growth of the moments of a random variable or on…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-15 Gwo Dong Lin , Jordan Stoyanov

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

概率论 · 数学 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

We investigate opinion formation in a kinetic exchange opinion model, where opinions are represented by numbers in the real interval $[-1,1]$ and agents are typified by the individual degree of conviction about the opinion that they…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-02-25 Allan R. Vieira , Celia Anteneodo , Nuno Crokidakis

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

This article deals with the consensus problem involving agents with time-varying singularities in the dynamics or communication in undirected graph networks. Existing results provide control laws which guarantee asymptotic consensus. These…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-04-07 Nilanjan Roy Chowdhury , Srikant Sukumar

Many algorithms have been proposed in prior literature to guarantee resilient multi-agent consensus in the presence of adversarial attacks or faults. The majority of prior work present excellent results that focus on discrete-time or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-23 James Usevitch , Dimitra Panagou

Motivated by the growing requirements on the operation of complex engineering systems, we present contracts as specifications for continuous-time linear dynamical systems with inputs and outputs. A contract is defined as a pair of…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-09-17 B. M. Shali , A. J. van der Schaft , B. Besselink

We present a condition for delay-independent stability of a class of nonlinear positive systems. This result applies to systems that are not necessarily monotone and extends recent work on cooperative nonlinear systems.

动力系统 · 数学 2013-07-03 Vahid Bokharaie , Oliver Mason

The g-formula can be used to estimate causal effects of sustained treatment strategies using observational data under the identifying assumptions of consistency, positivity, and exchangeability. The non-iterative conditional expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Sophia M Rein , Jing Li , Miguel Hernan , Andrew Beam

We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Working in a continuous time setting, we extend to the general case of dynamic risk measures continuous from above the characterization of time consistency in terms of ``cocycle condition'' of the minimal penalty function. We prove also the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal

This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-05 Ted Theodosopoulos

Suppose we can choose from a set of linear autonomous systems with bounded process noise, the dynamics of each system are unknown, and we would like to design a stabilizing policy. The underlying question is how to estimate the dynamics of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-30 Pedro Hespanhol , Anil Aswani

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

Leveraging machine learning methods to solve constraint satisfaction problems has shown promising, but they are mostly limited to a static situation where the problem description is completely known and fixed from the beginning. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Wook Lee , Frans A. Oliehoek

This paper examines equilibria in dynamic two-sided matching games, extending Gale and Shapley's foundational model to a non-cooperative, decentralized, and dynamic framework. We focus on markets where agents have utility functions and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-02 Nadia Guiñazú , Pablo Neme , Jorge Oviedo

This paper studies identification and estimation of a dynamic discrete choice model of demand for differentiated product using consumer-level panel data with few purchase events per consumer (i.e., short panel). Consumers are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-19 Victor Aguirregabiria