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Modeling of the dependence structure across heterogeneous data is crucial for Bayesian inference since it directly impacts the borrowing of information. Despite the extensive advances over the last two decades, most available proposals…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Filippo Ascolani , Beatrice Franzolini , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Frequentist-style large-sample properties of Bayesian posterior distributions, such as consistency and convergence rates, are important considerations in nonparametric problems. In this paper we give an analysis of Bayesian asymptotics…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-02 Ryan Martin , Liang Hong

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently gained popularity due to their ability to quantify model uncertainty. However, specifying a prior for BNNs that captures relevant domain knowledge is often extremely challenging. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Dylan Sam , Rattana Pukdee , Daniel P. Jeong , Yewon Byun , J. Zico Kolter

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Bayesian inference plays an important role in advancing machine learning, but faces computational challenges when applied to complex models such as deep neural networks. Variational inference circumvents these challenges by formulating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Didrik Nielsen

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

This paper addresses Bayesian inference related to partial differential equations (PDEs), particularly nonparametric regression constrained by PDEs. To effectively encode prior information, we propose a novel framework that learns a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng , Zongben Xu , Fang Yao

A Bayesian treatment of latent directed graph structure for non-iid data is provided where each child datum is sampled with a directed conditional dependence on a single unknown parent datum. The latent graph structure is assumed to lie in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Tony S. Jebara

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

In generative models with obscured likelihood, Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is often the tool of last resort for inference. However, ABC demands many prior parameter trials to keep only a small fraction that passes an acceptance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Sean O'Hagan , Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper