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Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang

Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

Adversarial robustness of machine learning models is critical to ensuring reliable performance under data perturbations. Recent progress has been on point estimators, and this paper considers distributional predictors. First, using the link…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Mahalakshmi Sabanayagam , Russell Tsuchida , Cheng Soon Ong , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar

In this paper, we study the learning rate of generalized Bayes estimators in a general setting where the hypothesis class can be uncountable and have an irregular shape, the loss function can have heavy tails, and the optimal hypothesis may…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-22 Lam Si Tung Ho , Binh T. Nguyen , Vu Dinh , Duy Nguyen

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

A recent development in Bayesian optimization is the use of local optimization strategies, which can deliver strong empirical performance on high-dimensional problems compared to traditional global strategies. The "folk wisdom" in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Kaiwen Wu , Kyurae Kim , Roman Garnett , Jacob R. Gardner

Outer measures can be used for statistical inference in place of probability measures to bring flexibility in terms of model specification. The corresponding statistical procedures such as Bayesian inference, estimators or hypothesis…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-05 Jeremie Houssineau , Neil K. Chada , Emmanuel Delande

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

In the realm of supervised learning, Bayesian learning has shown robust predictive capabilities under input and parameter perturbations. Inspired by these findings, we demonstrate the robustness properties of Bayesian learning in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Nardos Ayele Ashenafi , Wankun Sirichotiyakul , Aykut C. Satici

We study a class of adversarial bandit optimization problems in which the loss functions may be non-convex and non-smooth. In each round, the learner observes a loss that consists of an underlying linear component together with an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Zhuoyu Cheng , Kohei Hatano , Eiji Takimoto

In the Bayes paradigm and for a given loss function, we propose the construction of a new type of posterior distributions, that extends the classical Bayes one, for estimating the law of an $n$-sample. The loss functions we have in mind are…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Yannick Baraud

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

In Bayesian analysis, the posterior follows from the data and a choice of a prior and a likelihood. One hopes that the posterior is robust to reasonable variation in the choice of prior and likelihood, since this choice is made by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-09 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Michael Jordan

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Robustness checks are routine in empirical work, but there is no standard statistical procedure to formally measure what one can learn from them. I propose a "robustness radius" measure to quantify the amount by which the robustness checks…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-24 Brenda Prallon

Machine-learning models are known to be vulnerable to evasion attacks that perturb model inputs to induce misclassifications. In this work, we identify real-world scenarios where the true threat cannot be assessed accurately by existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Weiran Lin , Keane Lucas , Neo Eyal , Lujo Bauer , Michael K. Reiter , Mahmood Sharif

Statistical inference can be seen as information processing involving input information and output information that updates belief about some unknown parameters. We consider the Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-17 Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes , Paulo Varandas

We investigate the problem of deriving posterior concentration rates under different loss functions in nonparametric Bayes. We first provide a lower bound on posterior coverages of shrinking neighbourhoods that relates the metric or loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-06 Marc Hoffmann , Judith Rousseau , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber