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The dynamical likelihood method for analysis of high energy collider events is reformulated. The method is to reconstruct the elementary parton state from observed quantities. The basic assumption is that each of final state partons…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Kunitaka Kondo

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

We propose a probabilistic model to aggregate the answers of respondents answering multiple-choice questions. The model does not assume that everyone has access to the same information, and so does not assume that the consensus answer is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-16 John McCoy , Drazen Prelec

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

The majority game, modelling a system of heterogeneous agents trying to behave in a similar way, is introduced and studied using methods of statistical mechanics. The stationary states of the game are given by the (local) minima of a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-08 P. Kozlowski , M. Marsili

Expression for probability distribution is got taking into account a presence and removal of degeneracy on the microstates. Its application allows to describe the process of melting of solids, as saltatory phase transition of the first kind…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-03-20 Leonid S. Metlov

Juggling patterns can be mathematically modeled as closed walks within directed state graphs. In this paper, we present a unified framework of unbounded juggling patterns and its variations (including multiplex, colored, and passing)…

The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-08 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

The creation of complex entangled states, resources that enable quantum computation, can be achieved via simple 'probabilistic' operations which are individually likely to fail. However, typical proposals exploiting this idea carry a severe…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Yuichiro Matsuzaki , Simon C Benjamin , Joseph Fitzsimons

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

We present here two examples of stochastic modelings of social phenomena. The first topic is pedestrian counter flow. Two groups of model pedestrians move in opposite directions and create congestions. It will be shown that this congestion…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-19 Kichi Tokuyama , Ryuta Maemura , Kengo Yokouchi , Toru Ohira

We extend the notion of randomness (in the version introduced by Schnorr) to computable Probability Spaces and compare it to a dynamical notion of randomness: typicality. Roughly, a point is typical for some dynamic, if it follows the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-12 Peter Gacs , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristobal Rojas

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

Observed clusters should be modelled by considering the distribution function to be a random variable that quantifies the degree of excitation of the system's normal modes. A system of canonical coordinates for the space of DFs is…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-11 Jun Yan Lau , James Binney

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

We propose a new generalisation of jump-telegraph process with variable velocities and jumps. Amplitude of the jumps and velocity values are random, and they depend on the time spent by the process in the previous state of the underlying…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-22 Nikita Ratanov

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

Many physical phenomena are modeled as stochastic searchers looking for targets. In these models, the probability that a searcher finds a particular target, its so-called hitting probability, is often of considerable interest. In this work…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-07-18 Samantha Linn , Sean D. Lawley

Though the ability of human beings to deal with probabilities has been put into question, the assessment of rarity is a crucial competence underlying much of human decision-making and is pervasive in spontaneous narrative behaviour. This…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2011-08-25 Jean-Louis Dessalles