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A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

This article introduces a non parametric warping model for functional data. When the outcome of an experiment is a sample of curves, data can be seen as realizations of a stochastic process, which takes into account the small variations…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Jean-François Dupuy , Jean-Michel Loubes , Elie Maza

When using the bootstrap in the presence of measurement error, we must first estimate the target distribution function; we cannot directly resample, since we do not have a sample from the target. These and other considerations motivate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-28 Peter Hall , Soumendra N. Lahiri

Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer

We consider the relation between the microscopic and effective descriptions of the unfolding experiment on a model polypeptide. We evaluate the probability distribution function of the performed work by Monte Carlo simulations and compare…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 A. Imparato , L. Peliti

Motivated by the fundamental problem of modeling the frequency of frequencies (FoF) distribution, this paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a probability function that governs the joint distribution of a random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-02 Mingyuan Zhou , Stefano Favaro , Stephen G Walker

Statistical and structural modeling represent two distinct approaches to data analysis. In this paper, we propose a set of novel methods for combining statistical and structural models for improved prediction and causal inference. Our first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-11 Jiaming Mao , Jingzhi Xu

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) represent a probability distribution as a computational graph. Enforcing structural properties on these graphs guarantees that several inference scenarios become tractable. Among these properties, structured…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-03 Meihua Dang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

We construct an efficient estimator for the error distribution function of the nonparametric regression model Y = r(Z) + e. Our estimator is a kernel smoothed empirical distribution function based on residuals from an under-smoothed local…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-26 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

We consider $N$ events that are defined on a common probability space. Those events shell have a common probability function that is symmetric with respect to interchanging the events. We ask for the probability distribution of the number…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-31 Rüdiger Kürsten

Inside living cells are complex mixtures of thousands of components. It is hopeless to try to characterise all the individual interactions in these mixtures. Thus, we develop a statistical approach to approximating them, and examine the…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Richard P. Sear , Jose A. Cuesta

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

We review briefly the concepts underlying complex systems and probability distributions. The later are often taken as the first quantitative characteristics of complex systems, allowing one to detect the possible occurrence of regularities…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-07-17 D. Sornette

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

With the widespread application of causal inference, it is increasingly important to have tools which can test for the presence of causal effects in a diverse array of circumstances. In this vein we focus on the problem of testing for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Jake Fawkes , Robert Hu , Robin J. Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

Suppose we are given the conditional probability of one variable given some other variables.Normally the full joint distribution over the conditioning variablesis required to determine the probability of the conditioned variable.Under what…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Avi Pfeffer

Current status and future prospect of structure function and parton distribution studies are presented.

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Jen-Chieh Peng