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The current economic crisis has provoked an active response from the interdisciplinary scientific community. As a result many papers suggesting what can be improved in understanding of the complex socio-economics systems were published.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Valentas Daniunas

We present the LLM Economist, a novel framework that uses agent-based modeling to design and assess economic policies in strategic environments with hierarchical decision-making. At the lower level, bounded rational worker agents --…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Seth Karten , Wenzhe Li , Zihan Ding , Samuel Kleiner , Yu Bai , Chi Jin

Particle dynamics and multi-agent systems provide accurate dynamical models for studying and forecasting the behavior of complex interacting systems. They often take the form of a high-dimensional system of differential equations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-09 Yuxuan Liu , Scott G. McCalla , Hayden Schaeffer

Recently, model-based agents have achieved better performance than model-free ones using the same computational budget and training time in single-agent environments. However, due to the complexity of multi-agent systems, it is tough to…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Zhiwei Xu , Dapeng Li , Bin Zhang , Yuan Zhan , Yunpeng Bai , Guoliang Fan

Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

The high-order complexity of human behaviour is likely the root cause of extreme difficulty in financial market projections. We consider that behavioural simulation can unveil systemic dynamics to support analysis. Simulating diverse human…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-06-03 Cheng Wang , Chuwen Wang , Shirong Zeng , Jianguo Liu , Changjun Jiang

Questions convey information about the questioner, namely what one does not know. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to allow a learning agent to ask what it considers as tricky to predict, in the course of producing a final output.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Sungmin Kang , David Keetae Park , Jaehyuk Chang , Jaegul Choo

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

Traditionally, AI has been modeled within economics as a technology that impacts payoffs by reducing costs or refining information for human agents. Our position is that, in light of recent advances in generative AI, it is increasingly…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-04 Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , Aleksandrs Slivkins

Communication could potentially be an effective way for multi-agent cooperation. However, information sharing among all agents or in predefined communication architectures that existing methods adopt can be problematic. When there is a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-26 Jiechuan Jiang , Zongqing Lu

In the past, financial stock markets have been studied with previous generations of multi-agent systems (MAS) that relied on zero-intelligence agents, and often the necessity to implement so-called noise traders to sub-optimally emulate…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-10-14 J. Lussange , S. Bourgeois-Gironde , S. Palminteri , B. Gutkin

This paper presents our methodology to simulate the behavior of the DeLend Platform. Such simulations are important to verify if the system is able to connect the different sets of agents linked to the platform in a functional manner. They…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-04 Frederico Dutilh Novaes , Gabriel de Abreu Madeira , Aurimar Cerqueira

The behavioral dynamics of multi-agent systems have a rich and orderly structure, which can be leveraged to understand these systems, and to improve how artificial agents learn to operate in them. Here we introduce Relational Forward Models…

Agent-based modelling is a powerful tool when simulating human systems, yet when human behaviour cannot be described by simple rules or maximising one's own profit, we quickly reach the limits of this methodology. Machine learning has the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2022-01-21 Georg Jäger , Daniel Reisinger

In distributed processing, agents generally collect data generated by the same underlying unknown model (represented by a vector of parameters) and then solve an estimation or inference task cooperatively. In this paper, we consider the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-16 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

We consider the multi-agent reinforcement learning setting with imperfect information in which each agent is trying to maximize its own utility. The reward function depends on the hidden state (or goal) of both agents, so the agents must…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-03-28 Roberta Raileanu , Emily Denton , Arthur Szlam , Rob Fergus

An agent-based model for financial markets has to incorporate two aspects: decision making and price formation. We introduce a simple decision model and consider its implications in two different pricing schemes. First, we study its…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-06-19 Daniel C. Wagner , Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr , Dietrich E. Wolf

Autonomous intelligent agent research is a domain situated at the forefront of artificial intelligence. Interest-based negotiation (IBN) is a form of negotiation in which agents exchange information about their underlying goals, with a view…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-09-20 Supriya D'Souza , Abhishek Rao , Amit Sharma , Sanjay Singh

Agent-based modelling and simulation offers a new and exciting way of understanding the world of work. In this paper we describe the development of an agent-based simulation model, designed to help to understand the relationship between…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2010-07-05 Peer-Olaf Siebers , Uwe Aickelin , Helen Celia , Christopher Clegg

Intelligent agents such as robots are increasingly deployed in real-world, safety-critical settings. It is vital that these agents are able to explain the reasoning behind their decisions to human counterparts; however, their behavior is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Xijia Zhang , Yue Guo , Simon Stepputtis , Katia Sycara , Joseph Campbell