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相关论文: Is there an Elegant Universal Theory of Prediction…

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Understanding inductive reasoning is a problem that has engaged mankind for thousands of years. This problem is relevant to a wide range of fields and is integral to the philosophy of science. It has been tackled by many great minds ranging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-28 Samuel Rathmanner , Marcus Hutter

Many learning tasks can be viewed as sequence prediction problems. For example, online classification can be converted to sequence prediction with the sequence being pairs of input/target data and where the goal is to correctly predict the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-10 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter , Vaibhav Gavane

Solomonoff induction is held as a gold standard for learning, but it is known to be incomputable. We quantify its incomputability by placing various flavors of Solomonoff's prior M in the arithmetical hierarchy. We also derive computability…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-10-20 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

Solomonoff Induction is an optimal-in-the-limit unbounded algorithm for sequence prediction, representing a Bayesian mixture of every computable probability distribution and performing close to optimally in predicting any computable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Nathan Young , Michael Witbrock

The Bayesian framework is a well-studied and successful framework for inductive reasoning, which includes hypothesis testing and confirmation, parameter estimation, sequence prediction, classification, and regression. But standard…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-26 Marcus Hutter

This chapter discusses the Solomonoff approach to universal prediction. The crucial ingredient in the approach is the notion of computability, and I present the main idea as an attempt to meet two plausible computability desiderata for a…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Tom F. Sterkenburg

Decision theory formally solves the problem of rational agents in uncertain worlds if the true environmental probability distribution is known. Solomonoff's theory of universal induction formally solves the problem of sequence prediction…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2008-06-26 Marcus Hutter

Meta-learning has emerged as a powerful approach to train neural networks to learn new tasks quickly from limited data. Broad exposure to different tasks leads to versatile representations enabling general problem solving. But, what are the…

Solomonoff completed the Bayesian framework by providing a rigorous, unique, formal, and universal choice for the model class and the prior. We discuss in breadth how and in which sense universal (non-i.i.d.) sequence prediction solves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Marcus Hutter

The framework of Solomonoff prediction assigns prior probability to hypotheses inversely proportional to their Kolmogorov complexity. There are two well-known problems. First, the Solomonoff prior is relative to a choice of Universal Turing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-15 Sven Neth

Decision theory formally solves the problem of rational agents in uncertain worlds if the true environmental prior probability distribution is known. Solomonoff's theory of universal induction formally solves the problem of sequence…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter

Sequential decision theory formally solves the problem of rational agents in uncertain worlds if the true environmental prior probability distribution is known. Solomonoff's theory of universal induction formally solves the problem of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

We investigate the use of randomly generated data for the sake of pre-training a model. We justify this approach theoretically from the perspective of algorithmic complexity, building on recent research that shows that sequence models can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Peter Bloem

Inference in expressive probabilistic models is generally intractable, which makes them difficult to learn and limits their applicability. Sum-product networks are a class of deep models where, surprisingly, inference remains tractable even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-14 Abram L. Friesen , Pedro Domingos

This work presents a novel systematic methodology to analyse the capabilities and limitations of Large Language Models (LLMs) with feedback from a formal inference engine, on logic theory induction. The analysis is complexity-graded w.r.t.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 João Pedro Gandarela , Danilo S. Carvalho , André Freitas

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

We propose that Solomonoff induction is complete in the physical sense via several strong physical arguments. We also argue that Solomonoff induction is fully applicable to quantum mechanics. We show how to choose an objective reference…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-04-13 Eray Özkural

Can a physicist make only a finite number of errors in the eternal quest to uncover the law of nature? This millennium-old philosophical problem, known as inductive inference, lies at the heart of epistemology. Despite its significance to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Zhou Lu
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