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We comment on the regularity assumptions in the multi-agent sequential screening model of Eso and Szentes (2007). First, we observe that the regularity assumptions are not invariant to relabeling each agent's signal realizations. Second, we…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-24 Ian Ball , Teemu Pekkarinen

The goal of a next basket recommendation (NBR) system is to recommend items for the next basket for a user, based on the sequence of their prior baskets. Recently, a number of methods with complex modules have been proposed that claim…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-03-10 Ming Li , Sami Jullien , Mozhdeh Ariannezhad , Maarten de Rijke

In this work, we consider a binary hypothesis testing problem involving a group of human decision-makers. Due to the nature of human behavior, each human decision-maker observes the phenomenon of interest sequentially up to a random length…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-26 Nandan Sriranga , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney

Though the ability of human beings to deal with probabilities has been put into question, the assessment of rarity is a crucial competence underlying much of human decision-making and is pervasive in spontaneous narrative behaviour. This…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2011-08-25 Jean-Louis Dessalles

Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that adversely affects management decisions, and mathematical modelling is an aid to its detailed understanding. Bias in opinion update about the value of a parameter is modelled here assuming that…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Sequential neuronal activity underlies a wide range of processes in the brain. Neuroscientific evidence for neuronal sequences has been reported in domains as diverse as perception, motor control, speech, spatial navigation and memory.…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2020-04-03 Sascha Frölich , Dimitrije Marković , Stefan J. Kiebel

We discuss voting scenarios in which the set of voters (agents) and the set of alternatives are the same; that is, voters select a single representative from among themselves. Such a scenario happens, for instance, when a committee selects…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

Conversational modeling is an important task in natural language understanding and machine intelligence. Although previous approaches exist, they are often restricted to specific domains (e.g., booking an airline ticket) and require…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2015-07-23 Oriol Vinyals , Quoc Le

Sequential search models provide a powerful framework for studying consumer search using rich data that records the sequence of consumer actions taken during the search process. In existing empirical applications, their implementation often…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Tinghan Zhang

The goal of this expository article is a fairly self-contained account of some averaging processes of functions along sequences of the form $(\alpha^n x)^{}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$, where $\alpha$ is a fixed real number with $| \alpha | > 1$ and…

数论 · 数学 2018-01-24 Michael Baake , Alan Haynes , Daniel Lenz

We introduce a class of stochastic integer sequences. In these sequences, every element is a sum of two previous elements, at least one of which is chosen randomly. The interplay between randomness and memory underlying these sequences…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are useful for sequences where each event is associated with a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

A rotor configuration on a graph contains in every vertex an infinite ordered sequence of rotors, each is pointing to a neighbor of the vertex. After sampling a configuration according to some probability measure, a rotor walk is a…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-05 Sebastian Mueller , Tal Orenshtein

Modeling user preferences (long-term history) and user dynamics (short-term history) is of greatest importance to build efficient sequential recommender systems. The challenge lies in the successful combination of the whole user's history…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Corentin Lonjarret , Roch Auburtin , Céline Robardet , Marc Plantevit

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

Continual Learning trains models on a stream of data, with the aim of learning new information without forgetting previous knowledge. Given the dynamic nature of such environments, explaining the predictions of these models can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Andrea Cossu , Francesco Spinnato , Riccardo Guidotti , Davide Bacciu

Linear approximations to the decision boundary of a complex model have become one of the most popular tools for interpreting predictions. In this paper, we study such linear explanations produced either post-hoc by a few recent methods or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-31 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

We examine the issue of stability of probability in reasoning about complex systems with uncertainty in structure. Normally, propositions are viewed as probability functions on an abstract random graph where it is implicitly assumed that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-12-14 Subhash Kak