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Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with…

代数几何 · 数学 2015-04-20 Nero Budur , Botong Wang

We study deterministic online embeddings of metrics spaces into normed spaces and into trees against an adaptive adversary. Main results include a polynomial lower bound on the (multiplicative) distortion of embedding into Euclidean spaces,…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2023-03-29 Ilan Newman , Yuri Rabinovich

Despite successful use in a wide variety of disciplines for data analysis and prediction, machine learning (ML) methods suffer from a lack of understanding of the reliability of predictions due to the lack of transparency and black-box…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-04-04 Evan Askanazi , Ilya Grinberg

Learned index structures aim to accelerate queries by training machine learning models to approximate the rank function associated with a database attribute. While effective in practice, their theoretical limitations are not fully…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Luis Alberto Croquevielle , Roman Sokolovskii , Thomas Heinis

Although much of the success of Deep Learning builds on learning good representations, a rigorous method to evaluate their quality is lacking. In this paper, we treat the evaluation of representations as a model selection problem and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Yazhe Li , Jorg Bornschein , Marcus Hutter

Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2009-07-23 Andreas Maurer , Massimiliano Pontil

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating a Bernoulli parameter using finite memory. Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables with expectation $\theta$, where $\theta \in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Tomer Berg , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

Simplex-valued data appear throughout statistics and machine learning, for example in the context of transfer learning and compression of deep networks. Existing models for this class of data rely on the Dirichlet distribution or other…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Elliott Gordon-Rodriguez , Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , John P. Cunningham

We present Sequential Neural Likelihood (SNL), a new method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, where the likelihood is intractable but simulating data from the model is possible. SNL trains an autoregressive flow on simulated data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-23 George Papamakarios , David C. Sterratt , Iain Murray

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

We study the risk performance of distributed learning for the regularization empirical risk minimization with fast convergence rate, substantially improving the error analysis of the existing divide-and-conquer based distributed learning.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-21 Yong Liu , Jian Li , Weiping Wang

We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-12 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Machine learning models have demonstrated substantial performance enhancements over non-learned alternatives in various fundamental data management operations, including indexing (locating items in an array), cardinality estimation…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Sepanta Zeighami , Cyrus Shahabi

We study sequential prediction of real-valued, arbitrary and unknown sequences under the squared error loss as well as the best parametric predictor out of a large, continuous class of predictors. Inspired by recent results from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-24 N. Denizcan Vanli , Suleyman S. Kozat

Distance metric learning (DML) approaches learn a transformation to a representation space where distance is in correspondence with a predefined notion of similarity. While such models offer a number of compelling benefits, it has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-03 Oren Rippel , Manohar Paluri , Piotr Dollar , Lubomir Bourdev

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) work well on large datasets. But labelled data is hard to collect, and in some applications larger amounts of data are not available. The problem then is how to use CNNs with small data -- as CNNs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-19 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Inference is typically intractable in high-treewidth undirected graphical models, making maximum likelihood learning a challenge. One way to overcome this is to restrict parameters to a tractable set, most typically the set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-02 Justin Domke