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Forecasting power consumptions of integrated electrical, heat or gas network systems is essential in order to operate more efficiently the whole energy network. Multi-energy systems are increasingly seen as a key component of future energy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Corneliu Arsene , Alessandra Parisio

India is expected to witness rapid growth in electricity use over the next two decades. Here, we introduce a custom regression model to project electricity consumption in India over the coming decades, which includes a bottom-up estimate of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-11 Marc Barbar , Dharik Mallapragada , Meia Alsup , Robert Stoner

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Slawek Smyl , Boris N. Oreshkin , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

This study presents the development and optimization of a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict short-term hourly electricity demand in C\'ordoba, Argentina. Integrating historical consumption data…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-25 Oscar A. Oviedo

Prognostics aid in the longevity of fielded systems or products. Quantifying the system's current health enable prognosis to enhance the operator's decision-making to preserve the system's health. Creating a prognosis for a system can be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-31 Ryan Nguyen , Shubhendu Kumar Singh , Rahul Rai

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

Due to imprecision and uncertainties in predicting real world problems, artificial neural network (ANN) techniques have become increasingly useful for modeling and optimization. This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-12-09 Hasan M. H. Owda , Babatunji Omoniwa , Ahmad R. Shahid , Sheikh Ziauddin

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

The need to forecast solar irradiation at a specific location over short-time horizons has acquired immense importance. In this paper, we report on analyses results involving statistical and machine learning techniques to predict hourly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-29 Alireza Inanlougani , T. Agami Reddy , Srinivas Katiamula

In this paper, we develop a hybrid prediction framework for accurate electric vehicle (EV) charging time estimation, a capability that is critical for trip planning, user satisfaction, and efficient operation of charging infrastructure. We…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-09 Praharshitha Aryasomayajula , Ting Bai , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We introduce a novel functional time series methodology for short-term load forecasting. The prediction is performed by means of a weighted average of past daily load segments, the shape of which is similar to the expected shape of the load…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-07 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , L. S. Grumbach

The present document delineates the analysis, design, implementation, and benchmarking of various neural network architectures within a short-term frequency prediction system for the foreign exchange market (FOREX). Our aim is to simulate…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-15 Theodoros Zafeiriou , Dimitris Kalles

We present a comparative study of different probabilistic forecasting techniques on the task of predicting the electrical load of secondary substations and cabinets located in a low voltage distribution grid, as well as their aggregated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-17 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Kristijan Lopatichki , Fabrizio Sossan