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This work discusses how to derive upper bounds for the expected generalisation error of supervised learning algorithms by means of the chaining technique. By developing a general theoretical framework, we establish a duality between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , Amitis Shidani , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

Many learning machines that have hierarchical structure or hidden variables are now being used in information science, artificial intelligence, and bioinformatics. However, several learning machines used in such fields are not regular but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-13 Sumio Watanabe

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Junheng Ma , Joe Sedransk , Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen

Regularization is a common tool in variational inverse problems to impose assumptions on the parameters of the problem. One such assumption is sparsity, which is commonly promoted using lasso and total variation-like regularization.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-15 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

Identifying leading measurement units from a large collection is a common inference task in various domains of large-scale inference. Testing approaches, which measure evidence against a null hypothesis rather than effect magnitude, tend to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Nicholas C. Henderson , Michael A. Newton

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We develop a framework for the operationalization of models and parameters by combining de Finetti's representation theorem with a conditional form of Sanov's theorem. This synthesis, the tilted de Finetti theorem, shows that conditioning…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Bayesian inverse problem on an infinite dimensional separable Hilbert space with the whole state observed is well posed when the prior state distribution is a Gaussian probability measure and the data error covariance is a cylindric…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-31 Ivan Kasanický , Jan Mandel

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

For ill-posed inverse problems, a regularised solution can be interpreted as a mode of the posterior distribution in a Bayesian framework. This framework enriches the set the solutions, as other posterior estimates can be used as a solution…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-22 Natalia Bochkina

In Bayesian classification, it is important to establish a probabilistic model for each class for likelihood estimation. Most of the previous methods modeled the probability distribution in the whole sample space. However, real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-14 Chengsheng Mao , Lijuan Lu , Bin Hu

The assumption of Gaussian or Gaussian mixture data has been extensively exploited in a long series of precise performance analyses of machine learning (ML) methods, on large datasets having comparably numerous samples and features. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Xiaoyi Mai , Zhenyu Liao

Finding the underlying probability distributions of a set of observed sequences under the constraint that each sequence is generated i.i.d by a distinct distribution is considered. The number of distributions, and hence the number of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-16 Sara Shahi , Daniela Tuninetti , Natasha Devroye

Sequential change diagnosis is the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the distribution of a random sequence. In this problem, the common probability law of a sequence of i.i.d. random…

概率论 · 数学 2007-10-29 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

This paper reviews the growing field of Bayesian prediction. Bayes point and interval prediction are defined and exemplified and situated in statistical prediction more generally. Then, four general approaches to Bayes prediction are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Bertrand Clarke , Yuling Yao

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov