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Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-05 Behrooz Ghorbani , Hamid Javadi , Andrea Montanari

We introduce non-stationary Mat\'ern field priors with stochastic partial differential equations, and construct correlation length-scaling with hyperpriors. We model both the hyperprior and the Mat\'ern prior as continuous-parameter random…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-12 Lassi Roininen , Mark Girolami , Sari Lasanen , Markku Markkanen

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

The Na\"ive Mean Field (NMF) approximation is widely employed in modern Machine Learning due to the huge computational gains it bestows on the statistician. Despite its popularity in practice, theoretical guarantees for high-dimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-17 Jiaze Qiu

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-03-14 Chong Wang , David M. Blei

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

We reinterpret multiplicative noise in neural networks as auxiliary random variables that augment the approximate posterior in a variational setting for Bayesian neural networks. We show that through this interpretation it is both efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Variational inference with a factorized Gaussian posterior estimate is a widely used approach for learning parameters and hidden variables. Empirically, a regularizing effect can be observed that is poorly understood. In this work, we show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Julius Kunze , Louis Kirsch , Hippolyt Ritter , David Barber

Statistical modeling is a key component in the extraction of physical results from lattice field theory calculations. Although the general models used are often strongly motivated by physics, many model variations can frequently be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-10 William I. Jay , Ethan T. Neil

The Bayesian approach provides powerful methods for variable selection. The ability to incorporate sparsity through prior beliefs and account for parameter uncertainty allows Bayesian variable selection to consistently identify which of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Sparse models are desirable for many applications across diverse domains as they can perform automatic variable selection, aid interpretability, and provide regularization. When fitting sparse models in a Bayesian framework, however,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-15 Jeffrey P. Spence

When the data do not conform to the hypothesis of a known sampling-variance, the fitting of a constant to a set of measured values is a long debated problem. Given the data, fitting would require to find what measurand value is the most…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-07-21 Giovanni Mana , Enrico Massa , Maria Predescu

We propose a novel Bayesian model selection technique on linear mixed-effects models to compare multiple treatments with a control. A fully Bayesian approach is implemented to estimate the marginal inclusion probabilities that provide a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-28 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal , Stephen R. Spindler , Patricia L. Mote

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei