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Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

The occurrence and the distribution of patterns of trees associated to natural numbers are investigated. Bounds from above and below are proven for certain natural quantities.

数论 · 数学 2024-01-09 Roberto Conti , Pierluigi Contucci , Vitalii Iudelevich

Organisms and algorithms learn probability distributions from previous observations, either over evolutionary time or on the fly. In the absence of regularities, estimating the underlying distribution from data would require observing each…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-10 William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

We have addressed the issue of field redefinition in connection with renormalisability. Our study is restricted to theories of interacting scalar fields. We have, in particular, shown that if a theory is renormalisable in the usual…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2013-06-20 N. Mohammedi

Learning joint probability distributions on n random variables requires exponential sample size in the generic case. Here we consider the case that a temporal (or causal) order of the variables is known and that the (unknown) graph of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Pawel Wocjan , Dominik Janzing , Thomas Beth

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

We formalize the idea of probability distributions that lead to reliable predictions about some, but not all aspects of a domain. The resulting notion of `safety' provides a fresh perspective on foundational issues in statistics, providing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-08 Peter Grünwald

In Bayesian classification, it is important to establish a probabilistic model for each class for likelihood estimation. Most of the previous methods modeled the probability distribution in the whole sample space. However, real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-14 Chengsheng Mao , Lijuan Lu , Bin Hu

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Statistical learning theory provides the theoretical basis for many of today's machine learning algorithms. In this article we attempt to give a gentle, non-technical overview over the key ideas and insights of statistical learning theory.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2008-10-28 Ulrike von Luxburg , Bernhard Schoelkopf

This paper is motivated by the questions of how to give the concept of probability an adequate real-world meaning, and how to explain a certain type of phenomenon that can be found, for instance, in Ellsberg's paradox. It attempts to answer…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Russell J. Bowater

As observers of the universe we are physical systems within it. If the universe is very large in space and/or time, the probability becomes significant that the data on which we base predictions is replicated at other locations in…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2015-05-18 Mark Srednicki , James Hartle

An "element-free" probability distribution is what remains of a probability distribution after we forget the elements to which the probabilities were assigned. These objects naturally arise in Bayesian statistics, in situations where…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Victor Blanchi , Hugo Paquet

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

Measurements of a weighted energy density average taken in the vacuum state of a conformal field theory in $1+1$ dimensions are randomly distributed with vanishing expectation value. The probability distribution is computed in closed form…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2020-01-29 Matthew C. Anthony , Christopher J. Fewster

The tree amplitudes in scalar field theories are presented at all $n$. The momentum routing of propagators is given at $n$-point in terms of a specified set of numbers, and the mass expansion of the massive theories is generated. A group…

综合物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Gordon Chalmers

The purpose of this paper is to look into how central notions in statistical learning theory, such as realisability, generalise under the assumption that train and test distribution are issued from the same credal set, i.e., a convex set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Fabio Cuzzolin

Methods for Bayesian simulation in the presence of computationally intractable likelihood functions are of growing interest. Termed likelihood-free samplers, standard simulation algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo have been adapted…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-05-31 S. A. Sisson , G. W. Peters , M. Briers , Y. Fan

A theoretical framework is developed to describe the transformation that distributes probability density functions uniformly over space. In one dimension, the cumulative distribution can be used, but does not generalize to higher…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-09-08 Eric Kee