相关论文: Records in a changing world
We compute exactly the statistics of the number of records in a discrete-time random walk model on a line where the walker stays at a given position with a nonzero probability $0\leq p \leq 1$, while with the complementary probability…
A random composition of $n$ appears when the points of a random closed set $\widetilde{\mathcal{R}}\subset[0,1]$ are used to separate into blocks $n$ points sampled from the uniform distribution. We study the number of parts $K_n$ of this…
Following findings by Ormerod and Mounfield, Wright rises the problem whether a power or an exponential law describes the distribution of occurrences of economic recession periods. In order to clarify the controversy a different set of GDP…
We study a stochastic model based on a modified fragmentation of a finite interval. The mechanism consists in cutting the interval at a random location and substituting a unique fragment on the right of the cut to regenerate and preserve…
The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…
This paper develops a theory of distribution- and time-uniform asymptotics, culminating in the first large-sample anytime-valid inference procedures that are shown to be uniformly valid in a rich class of distributions. Historically,…
This paper studies the \emph{subset sampling} problem. The input is a set $\mathcal{S}$ of $n$ records together with a function $\textbf{p}$ that assigns each record $v\in\mathcal{S}$ a probability $\textbf{p}(v)$. A query returns a random…
We generalize the poissonian evolving random graph model of Bauer and Bernard to deal with arbitrary degree distributions. The motivation comes from biological networks, which are well-known to exhibit non poissonian degree distribution. A…
We develop a comprehensive framework for analyzing full record statistics, covering record counts $M(t_1), M(t_2), \ldots$, and their corresponding attainment times $T_{M(t_1)}, T_{M(t_2)}, \ldots$, as well as the intervals until the next…
A statistical model for describing the scaling of the distribution of inter-event times is described. By considering the diverse region seismicity (natural and induced) at different scale levels the self-similarity of the distribution has…
The central limit theorem ensures that a sum of random variables tends to a Gaussian distribution as their total number tends to infinity. However, for a class of positive random variables, we find that the sum tends faster to a log-normal…
This paper focuses on nonparametric statistical inference of the hazard rate function of discrete distributions based on $\delta$-record data. We derive the explicit expression of the maximum likelihood estimator and determine its exact…
We investigate the statistics of trees grown from some initial tree by attaching links to preexisting vertices, with attachment probabilities depending only on the valence of these vertices. We consider the asymptotic mass distribution that…
The scaled standard Wigner matrix (symmetric with mean zero, variance one i.i.d. entries), and its limiting eigenvalue distribution, namely the semi-circular distribution, has attracted much attention. The $2k$th moment of the limit equals…
In this article, we first give a comprehensive description of random walk (RW) problem focusing on self-similarity, dynamic scaling and its connection to diffusion phenomena. One of the main goals of our work is to check how robust the RW…
Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…
The big jump principle is a well established mathematical result for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables extracted from a fat tailed distribution. It states that the tail of the distribution of the sum is the…
We study the distributions of the random Dirichlet series with parameters $(s, \beta)$ defined by $$ S=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\frac{I_n}{n^s}, $$ where $(I_n)$ is a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables, $I_n$ taking value $1$ with…
Consider a discrete time Markov process $X^\epsilon$ on $\mathbf R^d$ that makes a deterministic jump based on its current location, and then takes a small Gaussian step of variance $\epsilon^2$. We study the behavior of the asymptotic…
We consider the range of random walks up to time n, R_n, on graphs satisfying a uniform condition. This condition is characterized by potential theory. Not only all vertex transitive graphs but also many non-regular graphs satisfy the…