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Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is computationally intensive for complex model simulators. To exploit expensive simulations, data-resampling via bootstrapping can be employed to obtain many artificial datasets at little cost.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-05 Umberto Picchini , Richard G. Everitt

This paper introduces an open-ended sequential algorithm for computing the p-value of a test using Monte Carlo simulation. It guarantees that the resampling risk, the probability of a different decision than the one based on the theoretical…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy

This paper investigates the use of stratified sampling as a variance reduction technique for approximating integrals over large dimensional spaces. The accuracy of this method critically depends on the choice of the space partition, the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-15 Pierre Etoré , Gersende Fort , Benjamin Jourdain , Eric Moulines

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular method in sampling. While there are quite a few works of studying this method on various aspects, an interesting question is how to choose its integration time to achieve acceleration. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Jun-Kun Wang , Andre Wibisono

We report on what seems to be an intriguing connection between variable integration time and partial velocity refreshment of Ideal Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers, both of which can be used for reducing the dissipative behavior of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-20 Qijia Jiang

The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is used to evaluate the imaginary-time path integral of a quantum oscillator with a potential that includes both a quadratic term and a quartic term whose coupling is varied by several orders of…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-27 Shikhar Mittal , Marise J. E. Westbroek , Peter R. King , Dimitri D. Vvedensky

We present a probabilistic generative model for timing deviations in expressive music performance. The structure of the proposed model is equivalent to a switching state space model. The switch variables correspond to discrete note…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-27 A. T. Cemgil , B. Kappen

Rendering algorithms typically integrate light paths over path space. However, integrating over this one unified space is not necessarily the most efficient approach, and we show that partitioning path space and integrating each of these…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Thomas Bashford-Rogers , Luis Paulo Santos

Mesoscopic models in the reaction-diffusion framework have gained recognition as a viable approach to describing chemical processes in cell biology. The resulting computational problem is a continuous-time Markov chain on a discrete and…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-01-13 Stefan Engblom

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method to efficiently and accurately compute cut-Bayesian posterior quantities of interest, variations of standard Bayesian approaches constructed primarily to account for model misspecification. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Joseph Mathews , Giri Gopalan , James Gattiker , Sean Smith , Devin Francom

High-quality random samples of quantum states are needed for a variety of tasks in quantum information and quantum computation. Searching the high-dimensional quantum state space for a global maximum of an objective function with many local…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-04-28 Yi-Lin Seah , Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , David John Nott , Berthold-Georg Englert

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

High-dimensional data are routinely collected in many areas. We are particularly interested in Bayesian classification models in which one or more variables are imbalanced. Current Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-15 Deborshee Sen , Matthias Sachs , Jianfeng Lu , David Dunson

This article presents a novel and practically useful link between geometric integration, low-discrepancy sampling and code coupling for Lagrangian and Eulerian Vlasov-Poisson solvers. Low-discrepancy sequences, also called quasi-random…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-06-26 Jakob Ameres

Transit timing variations (TTVs) are a valuable tool to determine the masses and orbits of transiting planets in multi-planet systems. TTVs can be readily modeled given knowledge of the interacting planets' orbital configurations and…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-01-30 Noah W. Tuchow , Eric B. Ford , Theodore Papamarkou , Alexey Lindo

We study the numerical integration of functions from isotropic Sobolev spaces $W_p^s([0,1]^d)$ using finitely many function evaluations within randomized algorithms, aiming for the smallest possible probabilistic error guarantee…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-09 Robert J. Kunsch

We generalize the derivation of model predictive path integral control (MPPI) to allow for a single joint distribution across controls in the control sequence. This reformation allows for the implementation of adaptive importance sampling…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-02 Dylan M. Asmar , Ransalu Senanayake , Shawn Manuel , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The performance of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo simulations crucially depends on both the integration timestep and the number of integration steps. We present an adaptive general-purpose framework to automatically tune such parameters, based on…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-12-10 Henrik Christiansen , Federico Errica , Francesco Alesiani