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相关论文: On the efficient Monte Carlo implementation of pat…

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The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

We study a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the Gibbs measure with a non-convex energy function at a low temperature. We use the practical and popular geometric annealing schedule, and use a Langevin diffusion at each…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-13 Ruiyu Han , Gautam Iyer , Dejan Slepčev

In this paper we investigate how the complexity of chaotic phase spaces affect the efficiency of importance sampling Monte Carlo simulations. We focus on a flat-histogram simulation of the distribution of finite-time Lyapunov exponent in a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Jorge C. Leitão , Eduardo G. Altmann , J. M. Viana Parente Lopes

Sampling from high-dimensional probability distributions is fundamental in machine learning and statistics. As datasets grow larger, computational efficiency becomes increasingly important, particularly in reducing adaptive complexity,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Huanjian Zhou , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a new Monte Carlo method for efficiently sampling trajectories with fixed initial and final conditions in a system with discrete degrees of freedom. The method can be applied to any stochastic process with local interactions,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-03-30 Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi

We consider posterior sampling in the very common Bayesian hierarchical model in which observed data depends on high-dimensional latent variables that, in turn, depend on relatively few hyperparameters. When the full conditional over the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-10-24 Richard A. Norton , J. Andres Christen , Colin Fox

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Minghao Gu , Shiliang Sun

Bayesian models have become very popular over the last years in several fields such as signal processing, statistics, and machine learning. Bayesian inference requires the approximation of complicated integrals involving posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira

The concept of a L\'evy subordinator is generalized to a family of non-decreasing stochastic processes, which are parameterized in terms of two Bernstein functions. Whereas the independent increments property is only maintained in the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-10 Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

Modern macroeconometrics often relies on time series models for which it is time-consuming to evaluate the likelihood function. We demonstrate how Bayesian computations for such models can be drastically accelerated by reweighting and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-10 Marko Mlikota , Frank Schorfheide

Monte Carlo simulation is an unbiased numerical tool for studying classical and quantum many-body systems. One of its bottlenecks is the lack of general and efficient update algorithm for large size systems close to phase transition or with…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2017-01-11 Junwei Liu , Yang Qi , Zi Yang Meng , Liang Fu

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

The use of random sampling in decision-making and control has become popular with the ease of access to graphic processing units that can generate and calculate multiple random trajectories for real-time robotic applications. In contrast to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Chuyuan Tao , Hunmin Kim , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

Single-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo simulates realizations from a Markov chain to estimate expectations with the empirical average. The single-chain simulation is generally of considerable length and restricts many advantages of modern…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-01 Austin Brown

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

Specifying a full Bayesian model that integrates multiple data sources can be challenging. One natural approach is to specify each individual model separately and join them afterwards. This is the approach adopted in Markov melding.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-22 Yixuan Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

Target tracking faces the challenge in coping with large volumes of data which requires efficient methods for real time applications. The complexity considered in this paper is when there is a large number of measurements which are required…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-08-03 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova , Simon Godsill

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful tool for Bayesian statistical inference due to its potential to rapidly explore high dimensional state space, avoiding the random walk behavior typical of many Markov Chain Monte Carlo samplers.…