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Consider a discrete locally finite subset $\Gamma$ of $R^d$ and the complete graph $(\Gamma,E)$, with vertices $\Gamma$ and edges $E$. We consider Gibbs measures on the set of sub-graphs with vertices $\Gamma$ and edges $E'\subset E$. The…

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

For a dynamical system far from equilibrium, one has to deal with empirical probabilities defined through time-averages, and the main problem is then how to formulate an appropriate statistical thermodynamics. The common answer is that the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 A. Carati

We explore negative dependence and stochastic orderings, showing that if an integer-valued random variable $W$ satisfies a certain negative dependence assumption, then $W$ is smaller (in the convex sense) than a Poisson variable of equal…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Fraser Daly

In mathematical finance, Levy processes are widely used for their ability to model both continuous variation and abrupt, discontinuous jumps. These jumps are practically relevant, so reliable inference on the feature that controls jump…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Zhe Wang , Ryan Martin

We provide novel probabilistic portrayals of two multivariate models designed to handle zero-inflation in count-compositional data. We develop a new unifying framework that represents both as finite mixture distributions. One of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 André F. B. Menezes , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy

The dynamics of network formation are generally very complex, making the study of distributions over the space of networks often intractable. Under a condition called conservativeness, I show that the stationary distribution of a network…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-15 Jose M. Betancourt

A quantum thermodynamic system can conserve non-commuting observables, but the consequences of this phenomenon on relaxation are still not fully understood. We investigate this problem by leveraging an observable-dependent approach to…

In this contribution we show that a suitably defined nonequilibrium entropy of an N-body isolated system is not a constant of the motion in general and its variation is bounded, the bounds determined by the thermodynamic entropy, i.e., the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 A. Perez-Madrid

General relationship between mean Boltzmann entropy and Gibbs entropy is established. It is found that their difference is equal to fluctuation entropy, which is a Gibbs-like entropy of macroscopic quantities. The ratio of the fluctuation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-04-19 Pasko Zupanovic , Domagoj Kuic

Different models to study the wealth distribution in an artificial society have considered a transactional dynamics as the driving force. Those models include a risk aversion factor, but also a finite probability of favoring the poorer…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 M. A. Fuentes , M. N. Kuperman , J. R. Iglesias

We examine a family of discrete probability distributions that describes the "spillage number" in the extended balls-in-bins model. The spillage number is defined as the number of balls that occupy their bins minus the total number of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-11 Ben O'Neill

We assume that markovian dynamics on a finite graph enjoys a gauge symmetry under local scalings of the probability density, derive the transformation law for the transition rates and interpret the thermodynamic force as a gauge potential.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Matteo Polettini

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

The aim of this work is to establish the personal income distribution from the elementary constituents of a free market; products of a representative good and agents forming the economic network. The economy is treated as a self-organized…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-04 Joachim Kaldasch

We analyze an ideal gas like models of a trading market. We propose a new fit for the money distribution in the fixed or uniform saving market. For the marketwith quenched random saving factors for its agents we show that the steady state…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti , Robin B. Stinchcombe

This paper studies the dividend and capital injection problem under a diffusion risk model with general discount functions. A proportional cost is imposed when injecting capitals. For exponential discounting as time-consistent benchmark, we…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-30 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

For testing goodness of fit it is very popular to use either the chi square statistic or G statistics (information divergence). Asymptotically both are chi square distributed so an obvious question is which of the two statistics that has a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-19 Peter Harremoës , Gábor Tusnády

In this paper, we investigate the economic mobility in some money transfer models which have been applied into the research on wealth distribution. We demonstrate the mobility by recording the time series of agents' ranks and observing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Ning Ding , Ning Xi , Yougui Wang

Ewens' sampling formula (ESF) provides the probability distribution governing the number of distinct genetic types and their respective frequencies at a selectively neutral locus under the infinitely-many-alleles model of mutation. A…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-17 F. H. Haydarov , Z. E. Mustafoyeva , U. A. Rozikov