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We present a new approach to forecasting North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) by recognizing that interannual variability primarily reflects amplitude changes in four dominant seasonal cycles. Our multivariate linear model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Rameshan Kallummal

Coastal regions have a high social, economical and environmental importance. Due to this importance the sea level fluctuations can have many bad consequences. In this research the correlation between the increasing trend of temperature in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-06-24 Reza Ardakanian , Seyed Hamed Alemohammad

Accurate estimates of historical changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and their uncertainties are important for documenting and understanding historical changes in climate. A source of uncertainty that has not previously been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Chenguang Dai , Duo Chan , Peter Huybers , Natesh Pillai

Atmospheric blocking events drive persistent weather extremes in midlatitudes, but isolating the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) from chaotic internal atmospheric variability on these events remains a challenge. We address this…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-02-06 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

The oscillations of climatic parameters of North Atlantic Ocean play important role in various events in North America and Europe. Several climatic indices are associated with these oscillations. The long term Atlantic temperature anomalies…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-05-05 Vasil Kolev , Yavor Chapanov

Sea surface temperature (SST) variability plays a key role in the global weather and climate system, with phenomena such as El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation regarded as a major source of interannual climate variability at the global scale.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-22 John Taylor , Ming Feng

The scaling ranges of time correlations in the cloud base height records of marine boundary layer stratocumulus are studied applying the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis statistical method. We have found that time dependent variations in the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 N. Kitova , K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , T. P. Ackerman , M. A. Mikhalev

Understanding local currents in the North Atlantic region of the ocean is a key part of modelling heat transfer and global climate patterns. Satellites provide a surface signature of the temperature of the ocean with a high horizontal…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-10-22 Gautier Cosne , Guillaume Maze , Pierre Tandeo

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

The winter climate of the East/Japan Sea (EJS) is strongly affected by the Arctic Oscillation (AO), yet how AO polarity reshapes the memory, coupling patterns, and predictability of sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remains poorly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-12 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

We study the statistical properties of the sum $S_t=\int_{0}^{t}dt' \sigma_{t'}$, that is the difference of time spent positive or negative by the spin $\sigma_{t}$, located at a given site of a $D$-dimensional Ising model evolving under…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 J. -M. Drouffe , C. Godreche

The diurnal variability of sea surface temperature (SST) may play an important role for cloud organization above the tropical ocean, with implications for precipitation extremes, storminess, and climate sensitivity. Recent cloud-resolving…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Reyk Börner , Jan O. Haerter , Romain Fiévet

Time dependent STM has been used to evaluate step fluctuations as a function of temperature (300-450 K) on Ag(111) films grown on mica. The temporal correlation function scales as a power law in time, t^1/n with measured values of 1/n…

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

The fluctuation statistics of the observed sea ice extent during the satellite era are compared with model output from CMIP5 models using a multi-fractal time series method. The two robust features of the observations are that on annual to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-09-02 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

The rising number of extreme climate events in the past decades has motivated the need for a thorough consideration of tropical cyclone genesis and intensity, given the sea-surface temperature (SST). In this paper, we present an analysis of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-13 Jingyang Wu , Rohitash Chandra

The effect caused by the presence of a number of distinct time scales in a simple stochastic model for the Earth's atmosphere temperature fluctuations is studied. The model is described by a dissipative dynamics consisting of a set of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Arturo Berrones

We analyze European temperature variability from station data with the method of detrended fluctuation analysis. This method is known to give a scaling exponent indicating long range correlations in time for temperature anomalies. However,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-10-02 Philipp G Meyer , Holger Kantz

We find that the conditional statistics of temperature difference at fixed values of the locally averaged temperature dissipation rate in turbulent convection become Gaussian in the regime where the mixing dynamics is expected to be driven…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Emily S. C. Ching , K. L. Chau

Vertically stable in density, stratified-water conditions 'SW' exist in the deep Mediterranean Sea that are characterized by temperature differences of 0.0002-0.01degrC over 125 m above a flat seafloor. These result in a mean buoyancy…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-09 Hans van Haren